Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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cadmiumpatzer
playerafar wrote:
cadmiumpatzer wrote:
playerafar wrote:

The fact that poker has more luck than chess doesn't mean chess has no luck.

I said nothing like that, the distinction is on what people define what chess is. The disagreement is really about differing definitions of terns in the OP.

I didn't say it was about you - no need to get defensive.
There's a lot of people in the forum.

You responded to me without quoting, talking about the "distinction". I have nothing to defend, it's clear this whole thread are two ships passing in the night. The terms luck, chess and game are carelessly being used as if all parties agree precisely about what they mean.

DiogenesDue
ChishTheFish wrote:
What if they misclick? That is not a lack of skill; and for player afar: if you claim that human opponents that are playing the game are part of the luck factor, then luck is unavoidable.

A misclick is the very definition of a lack of skill...hopefully that was not a serious argument.

Other skill-based actions that some would define as bad luck:

- Accidently touching a piece in touch move tournament rules (not actually part of chess, btw)

- Deciding to party until 4am the day of your tournament (also not actually part of chess)

- Thinking about your girlfriend while your opponent is thinking on their move

- Remembering you left the car unlocked

- Getting annoyed that the temperature is not right and your opponent doesn't smile

- Thinking upon about how you will be Kramnik one day because you played the Berlin

- Getting a cramp in your foot because of how you sit when you are anxious

BunWithGun6392

''sighs'' i suppose that was a supplementary statement where you adhesive words were used discouraging actions i would think you right

lfPatriotGames
BigChessplayer665 wrote:

Chess is 50% luck an 99% skill issue

Add to that the 17% of the game that's predetermined, and you have a 166% chance of any given game not turning out the way you expected.

DiogenesDue
ChishTheFish wrote:
No? Lack of skill of what? Hand-eye coordination?

So, you do know that's a skill...

DiogenesDue
ChishTheFish wrote:
Ok blud what if their breaks and they fall down and get injured and they can’t think clearly and they lose. Is that luck?

Depends how they fell down, but regardless, not part of the game of chess.

BigChessplayer665
DiogenesDue wrote:
ChishTheFish wrote:
Ok blud what if their breaks and they fall down and get injured and they can’t think clearly and they lose. Is that luck?

Depends how they fell down, but regardless, not part of the game of chess.

It still influences it

BunWithGun6392

how about we all agree that chess is chess

DiogenesDue
BigChessplayer665 wrote:
DiogenesDue wrote:
ChishTheFish wrote:
Ok blud what if their breaks and they fall down and get injured and they can’t think clearly and they lose. Is that luck?

Depends how they fell down, but regardless, not part of the game of chess.

It still influences it

So does the sun spontaneously going supernova, are you going to argue that would also be "luck in chess"? happy.png

mpaetz
ChishTheFish wrote:
I change my mind. There is no luck in chess, only skill. As agileelephants wrote, luck exists only in games where there is an outside factor other than the player themselves affecting the game, such as dice and card games. When one is winning, they can become in losing position just because of one turn. But chess is based on only the two players, and only skill can cause one to win, not ‘luck’.

But when you are playing terribly on chess.com and losing badly but your opponent's computer crashes and you win by "abandonment" there was an "outside factor" that gave you that lucky break.

mpaetz
AgileElephants wrote:

If you have a winning position in chess, perfect play guaranties you win. If you have a winning position in stratego, poker or backgammon, perfect play does not guaranty anything. You can play perfectly, your opponent can play horrendously, and you can still lose. That's the luck that does not exist in chess.

But what is "perfect play"? What a top GM would do? What Stockfish would do? Something even better that an improved engine will figure out 20 years from now?

Higuyno99
blitzed_chess34 wrote:

how about we all agree that chess is chess

yes

cadmiumpatzer
DiogenesDue wrote:
BigChessplayer665 wrote:
DiogenesDue wrote:
ChishTheFish wrote:
Ok blud what if their breaks and they fall down and get injured and they can’t think clearly and they lose. Is that luck?

Depends how they fell down, but regardless, not part of the game of chess.

It still influences it

So does the sun spontaneously going supernova, are you going to argue that would also be "luck in chess"?

Our sun doesn't have enough mass to supernova, so that would be a miracle not luck! lol

DiogenesDue
cadmiumpatzer wrote:

Our sun doesn't have enough mass to supernova, so that would be a miracle not luck! lol

I am aware. The point is still valid. I chose the impossible example for its sheer absurdity if anyone were to say that was "part of the game". If heart attacks and lightning strikes are part of the game, then supernovas would be also.

playerafar
DoktorFader wrote:

Yes of course there is "luck". It happens when you or your opponent make one or more moves that happens to lead to an advantage for you that you and/or they did not predict. The fact that you and/or they did not predict it was caused by your/their lack of skill/knowledge.

Therefore in match between two ultimate perfect chess players who will always make the absolutely top best move that yields the least disadvantageous position for them will NEVER be lucky. Of course such players does not exist yet, not even the best computer can't do that yet.

And therefore only for players who lacks some measure of skill or who have opponent who lacks skill, will there exist any kind of "luck".

In conclusion: "luck" and "unluck" is pretty much the same as our concept of "randomness": merely a result of the failure to predict.

I agree with almost all of that.
Not the conclusion though.
'Randomness' is very different from 'luck'.
--------------------------------------------------
To think of a situation where there's 'no luck at all'
a candidate could be Io.
Io is one of the moons of the planet Jupiter.
Its very unlikely there's life there.
That moon is constantly turned inside out by the gigantic gravity of Jupiter.
Its interesting that it even maintains its orbit.
Point: Gigantic storms and eruptions and upheavals on Io ... is that 'luck'?
Is there any 'luck' there?
There's nobody there.
Nobody cares about what goes on there.
Is there 'sound' there? Probably. Doesn't need anybody there to hear it - for sound to exist.
But is there 'luck' there?
No. Couldn't be. Because there's no subjective beings there to experience good or bad fortune there.
'Luck' is like beauty. Aspects of life and subjectivity.
---------------------------
This should be contrasted with the misconception that nonliving things 'can't do something'.
Of course they can.
Water can drown people. It does. Happens constantly.
Air pollution can kill. Does.
If somebody is killed early by air pollution were they 'unlucky'?
Yes - if they had good cause to keep living.
But can the air pollution itself have 'luck' for itself?
No.
Nonliving things can't have 'subjective appreciation'.
But nonliving 'can do' when it comes to objective things.
-----------------
Is this hard to grasp?
or is it 'seeing the world through a glass darkly'?
I think a child can grasp that a rock avalanche can knock down a building but that that rock avalanche cannot like the taste of Cheerios breakfast cereal.
A child would know that a rock avalanche can't have luck - because the avalanche doesn't care.

AgileElephants
mpaetz wrote:
AgileElephants wrote:

If you have a winning position in chess, perfect play guaranties you win. If you have a winning position in stratego, poker or backgammon, perfect play does not guaranty anything. You can play perfectly, your opponent can play horrendously, and you can still lose. That's the luck that does not exist in chess.

But what is "perfect play"? What a top GM would do? What Stockfish would do? Something even better that an improved engine will figure out 20 years from now?

This: https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/is-there-such-thing-as-quotluckquot-in-chess2?page=171#comment-105496779

playerafar

It seems to be being missed that 'perfect play' doesn't happen throughout a chess game.
Has never ever been proven to have ever happened ever.

AgileElephants
playerafar wrote:

It seems to be being missed that 'perfect play' doesn't happen throughout a chess game.
Has never ever been proven to have ever happened ever.

That's not the point. The point is that in chess perfect play guaranties the win (or draw if the position is drawn), while in poker it does not. Is it so difficult to understand?

Read this: https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/is-there-such-thing-as-quotluckquot-in-chess2?page=171#comment-105496779

playerafar

'your point' is not 'the' point.
And regarding my point - it seems you're now conceding that point.
Since you didn't try to challenge it.
Apparently you couldn't.
Perhaps nobody can because they know its valid.
My point - Stands.

AgileElephants
playerafar wrote:

'your point' is not 'the' point.
And regarding my point - it seems you're now conceding that point.
Since you didn't try to challenge it.
Apparently you couldn't.
Perhaps nobody can because they know its valid.
My point - Stands.

Okay, I can play this game too. You do not have any points at all. And my point stands.