Nakamura is 22 already, and hasn't played many top events. It would be very cool if he could challenge for the top spot, but reaching the top-10 some day would already be great for him. So far he's had a great year though, so who knows...
the world championship
Winning tournaments and winning a match are different skill sets. Kramnik was very tough in matches when his tournament results were slipping. While I would love to see either Carlson and Nakamura play in a championship match it probably will not happen.
One other example is Ivanchuk who was quite a dominant player yet was not so good in matches.

IMHO the only serious contenders , currently, to topple Anand are Topalov and Aronian. I believe Aronian will be WC before Carlsen ( if Carlsen ever is ) and I dont think Naka will ever even make it to a match for the WC.

Reb, why do you think Aronian will be WC before Carlsen? I know he is a little more experienced, but Carlsen is still no. 3 in the world already, and has been for quite some time now. He can obviously cut it at the very top. Do you suspect his match-play may be slightly weaker?

Reb, why do you think Aronian will be WC before Carlsen? I know he is a little more experienced, but Carlsen is still no. 3 in the world already, and has been for quite some time now. He can obviously cut it at the very top. Do you suspect his match-play may be slightly weaker?
Aronian has a much better record against Anand than Carlsen does and yes, I think Aronian is a tougher match player, I think Carlsen is still a few years away from being able to beat Anand, Topalov or Aronian in a serious match. Aronian gives Anand a lot of trouble already and seems to be still improving. But matches I would like to see are the upcoming Anand/Topalov match and I would like to see Aronian play matches against both Anand and Topalov as well....... I think the chess would be very entertaining.
The future world championship after the Anand/Topolov series will most likely have Nakmura versus Carlsen within a three year span; based on the rtournament results from the two dynamic youngsters.
John Paul Morgan, New York City
August 5th 2009