True or False Chess is a Draw with Best Play from Both Sides

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Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:
Nwap111 wrote:

Opti.   Calling people    fools  does nothing to advance any argument you wish to present.>>>

I did not call any specific person a fool. I made a very clear, logical case and commented that in my opinion, anybody who cannot follow it and disagrees with it cannot use their mind properly, cannot calculate logical propositions or follow what is implied by them, cannot think very well and so on. I did not relate it to anyone here at all .... if you think it may apply to you then so be it but I don't know your opinion on this subject and anyway, I don't need to know it because your personal opinion is irrelevant to your intention to try to close down polite but strongly stated opinions of others.

You should understand that, in the real world, some people's opinions are good ones and some others may be incorrect. If they were all treated according to principles of equality then education would be made much more difficult. I didn't mince words and in effect, I pointed out that anyone who really thinks that one plus one equals three is foolish. That too is a general statement of opinion and not aimed at anyone specific at all.

Incidentally, Ponz is absolutely right to bet his life against a hundred rupees that he's right. Or whatever. Because every time we drive a car up the road, we in England drive on the left and people in the USA drive on the right and we are correct that doing so reduces the chance that we will be in a head-on collision with another vehicle at the next blind bend. So we regularly bet our lives on our knowledge or belief being correct and I can state with certainty that Ponz would be taking far, far less a risk than any of us will be doing the next time we drive our cars, ride our bicycles or indeed, do anything remotely dangerous.

lfPatriotGames please take note! This discussion has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that you state that you cannot play chess perfectly. But I bet you can perform a simple K+Q vs. K mate at least most of the time, so perhaps your assessment that you cannot play perfectly may be a little too humble!

We can only play perfectly in very simple positions, even mildly more complicated endgames escape our ability to play optimally, KNNKP,KBBKN and sometimes KRNKN.

Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:

Thanks Ponz. I didn't want three consecutive.

So we have a proposition that a forced winning line is possible and yet from the opening, the advantage of the first move is gradually diluted until it becomes invisible. Let us hypothetically propose that a winning line is actually possible. If so then there must come a stage in the game where white reasserts supremacy, bit by bit, move by move, and the advantage differential widens. Where does this start? If it is possible, after all, it must be due to a principle that is inherent in the properties of the game of chess. Thus there might not be one perfect or "correct" winning line of play but several. At which move does it begin? If there's a principle involved that isn't known about, it may be that there are many winning lines, each one associated with a different starting point. There might be almost an infinity of them and, coincidentally, not one has been discovered despite the  millions of years of study that has cumulatively been devoted to chess. That seems just a bit unlikely, so maybe there's just one line. What makes it so different? How come it defies the principles set out by the literal infinity of drawing lines?

Actually, my son is the professional mathematician and I'm not, and I haven't the faintest idea how to set out the mathematical proof that I spoke of and which I know exists. But it's about as likely as the Law of Gravity is to be correct. It proceeds from exactly the same principles.

Your argument is inductive in nature, not deductive.

 

And I myself am studying mathematics at college (as in, the career of mathematics) and I think your text is just a mubled mess.

lfPatriotGames
Optimissed wrote:

No, it goes away in any case. It may be replaced by an advantage from another source. What is that other source? I mean, what you're arguing is tantamount to saying that the first move IS a winning advantage, but we know it isn't.

I thought we knew the first move IS a winning advantage. Isn't it something like white wins 55% of non drawn games? To me that seems like a huge advantage. I would think as computers and people get better that number would go down until it gets to about 50/50. But it's not going down. I agree most games end in draws, but when it's not a draw, white wins more. That seems important. 

You also asked in another post at what point does a winning line of play start. Why not the first move? Instead of the first move advantage slowly disappearing what if it's the opposite? What if the advantage builds until it's a forced win? Maybe with all the countless trillions of possibilities nobody has found that line (or lines) yet. It seems like most games of chess, either by people or computers, follow almost the exact same path. Opening theory and all that, most games go the same way until the middlegame where things change. What if people and computers simply aren't good enough yet to find that middlegame turning point? 

ponz111

Patriot   No, we do NOT know that the first move is a winning advantage. 

It is also untrue that most games end in draws.  Most games are played by humans who make many mistakes in one game and such games usually do not end in draws.

The fact that in most  non draw games White has about a 55% winning shows that White has an edge in practical play but the fact is that this 55% remains somewhat static is something we would expect because of the first move practical advantage.   As computers become stronger and then all computers become about equal--you will see that 55% head closer and closer to 50%.  

 

One thing that is obvious--at the highest human play---as players become stronger--

there are less and less draws.  This is easily seen by looking at the records or World Championship matches

 

 

Nwap111

opti, I never said a word about  politics,  Read all my posts before you criticize.  Than you.

Nwap111

Bacon is the one who talked about voting, not me. Read it.

ponz111

If a winning line was possible from move one--it is possible that someone or some computer might have found it in the hundreds of billions games played? Not to mention the millions of years of calculation... 

ponz111

I have won the vast majority of my games vs masters and all my games vs grand masters but there was not one game I won where I could not point out the losing mistakes of my opponents. 

Games are only won or lost when a mistake is made.

Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:
Prometheus_Fuschs wrote:
Optimissed escribió:

Thanks Ponz. I didn't want three consecutive.

So we have a proposition that a forced winning line is possible and yet from the opening, the advantage of the first move is gradually diluted until it becomes invisible. Let us hypothetically propose that a winning line is actually possible. If so then there must come a stage in the game where white reasserts supremacy, bit by bit, move by move, and the advantage differential widens. Where does this start? If it is possible, after all, it must be due to a principle that is inherent in the properties of the game of chess. Thus there might not be one perfect or "correct" winning line of play but several. At which move does it begin? If there's a principle involved that isn't known about, it may be that there are many winning lines, each one associated with a different starting point. There might be almost an infinity of them and, coincidentally, not one has been discovered despite the  millions of years of study that has cumulatively been devoted to chess. That seems just a bit unlikely, so maybe there's just one line. What makes it so different? How come it defies the principles set out by the literal infinity of drawing lines?

Actually, my son is the professional mathematician and I'm not, and I haven't the faintest idea how to set out the mathematical proof that I spoke of and which I know exists. But it's about as likely as the Law of Gravity is to be correct. It proceeds from exactly the same principles.

Your argument is inductive in nature, not deductive.

 

And I myself am studying mathematics at college (as in, the career of mathematics) and I think your text is just a mubled mess.>>

I pointed out that it's an inductive argument. Perhaps you could have read my comments before jumping in. It may indeed be that you think my argument is a jumbled mess, because you don't understand it. I can guarantee, however, that it's correct and fairly precise. I can guarantee that a good mathematician or logician will agree with it. I myself am a good logician ... my degree's in philosophy ... whereas my son isn't studying maths ... he is a bona fide mathematician. 1st class masters in maths from a top university, PhD in theoretical physics and working in the field for 5 years. I can ask for his comments if you wish but I know he'll say I'm broadly correct with maybe perhaps some minor criticism regarding prioritisation.

I turned on the colour for emphasis.

 

If your argument is inductive then there's nothing to discuss here, proofs aren't inductive in nature.

Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:

Incidentally, a deductive argument on this subject is impossible. Ditto for the Law of Gravity. And if you believe a forcing line from move one is possible, where is YOUR deductive argument to support it, since you seem to place so much store by deduction where deduction is impossible?

Science isn't deductive which I find surprising you don't know given the fact that you said you were a philosopher in degree.

 

And I never made any claims on the game state of chess, I'm just enphasizing the fact that we simply don't know and there only flimsy speculations floating around.

 

Also, you can provide a deductive argument (checkers is an example), if it's feasable is another story.

Prometheus_Fuschs
ponz111 escribió:

If a winning line was possible from move one--it is possible that someone or some computer might have found it in the hundreds of billions games played? Not to mention the millions of years of calculation... 

You can walk above a gold mine and never know it was there, you are also underestimating the size of the game tree in chess.

Piscivore

It seems more likely to me that chess is actually a forced win for Black.  Obviously, in being forced to move first, White must upset the equilibrium of an otherwise perfectly balanced position.

Twenty possible initial moves for White--and yet each, tragically, weakening in its own way. A sufficiently capable Black, whose strategic subtlety we can only imagine, could take advantage of this, and slowly and implacably, and with impeccable technique, administer inescapable punishment, culminating in checkmate.  Essentially, when the board is set up for play White is in Zugzwang.

:: sigh :: If only White could simply say "I pass" instead of making a move.  Black in turn could say "I pass," and then the pieces, still arrayed in their beautiful and perfect initial configuration, could be returned to the box unscathed.  The players could then exchange mutual congratulations and retire to have a brandy.  But no; by the ineluctably cruel rules of the game, the ritual bloodshed must ensue.

It is a harsh world.

lfPatriotGames
ponz111 wrote:

I have won the vast majority of my games vs masters and all my games vs grand masters but there was not one game I won where I could not point out the losing mistakes of my opponents. 

Games are only won or lost when a mistake is made.

I agree with you on that. I also think all games are won or lost because of mistakes. I also think all games are drawn because of mistakes (roughly equal amount of mistakes on both sides).

What I wonder about is a thousand years from now when computers are far more advanced than they are now. Right now, computers are very primitive, and cannot figure out if the game of chess is a forced win or always a draw with the right moves. Already humans cannot play better than computers, so what humans do doesn't even count when trying to figure out if chess is a draw. As time goes by computers get better and better. So even now (as always) computers make huge mistakes. So how can we really know the answer to this if the only thing we are going by is computers, or people, who do nothing but make huge mistakes all the time?

lfPatriotGames
Prometheus_Fuschs wrote:
ponz111 escribió:

If a winning line was possible from move one--it is possible that someone or some computer might have found it in the hundreds of billions games played? Not to mention the millions of years of calculation... 

You can walk above a gold mine and never know it was there, you are also underestimating the size of the game tree in chess.

Ponz, I agree with Prometheus on this one. The number of possible chess games, and moves, is huge. From what I understand, hundreds of billions of games played and millions of years of calculation are incredibly tiny fractions of what possibly exists. I'm sure some chess geek can figure it out a lot better than I can, but the numbers you say are probably a trillionth or less of what possibly exists. What if the answer exists somewhere in what hasn't been discovered?

Superspider762

how can you access puzzle rush ?

learning_by_doing

lol

Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:
Prometheus_Fuschs wrote:
ponz111 escribió:

If a winning line was possible from move one--it is possible that someone or some computer might have found it in the hundreds of billions games played? Not to mention the millions of years of calculation... 

You can walk above a gold mine and never know it was there, you are also underestimating the size of the game tree in chess.>>

I've tried to explain, to the best of my ability, why such a forced winning line is impossible. The exact, mathematical proof is beyond my ability but it's unnecessary because it will follow the principles I outlined. There can be no forced winning line from move one. As Ponz pointed out, such a thing is known by all the strongest players to be impossible.

Use your brains if they exist. If such a line were possible, it would have been found by the strongest computers in any case.. You know, when they leave the engine on for a year set at 50-ply deep.

Nobody can make a proof out of what you said because it is an inductive argument, how many times do I need to say this?

Prometheus_Fuschs
Optimissed escribió:
Prometheus_Fuschs wrote:
Optimissed escribió:

Incidentally, a deductive argument on this subject is impossible. Ditto for the Law of Gravity. And if you believe a forcing line from move one is possible, where is YOUR deductive argument to support it, since you seem to place so much store by deduction where deduction is impossible?

Science isn't deductive which I find surprising you don't know given the fact that you said you were a philosopher in degree.

 

And I never made any claims on the game state of chess, I'm just enphasizing the fact that we simply don't know and there only flimsy speculations floating around.

 

Also, you can provide a deductive argument (checkers is an example), if it's feasable is another story.>>>

My initial reaction is that you're completely thick but maybe, if English isn't your first language, you don't comprehend it as well as you might, even though you may think you do, so I take back my first thought about you unreservedly. I would apologise also, if it were not for the fact that I don't care for your aggressively condescending comments, which looks worse when coupled with a lack of understanding. We do know that a forced winning line from the beginning is impossible.

For the record, I had a perfect reading score in my IELTS test so I know perfectly well how to read.

 

The rest of your post is a proyection, nothing with substance.

 

And where is the proof of that bolded part? You do understand that'd mean chess is a draw right?

Nwap111

This is not a level and logical discussion.  People are criticizing language skills from people who speak and write English very well, hurling insults.  Why?  only because they want to force their view in, instead of conceding the other viewpoints suggested are equally valid.  

Further, I am amazed at the misquoting going on, some one  said that someone  said that....This is being used to say things, to attack people for things that were  never even said.

Therefore, I am bowing out of this discussion, which is too one-sided to be a  true discussion.  But I will repeat what I said so newcomers to it may know what I said.  

No human is perfect and cannot play perfect chess by any definition of perfect.  As Pat pointed out, chess masters cannot play as well as computers, so what they say or believe does not matter.  I am comfortable with the uncertainty.

IMKeto
Superspider762 wrote:

how can you access puzzle rush ?

Slow down...Take your time...and learn to navigate the site.

21 days of rapid, bullet, and blitz, and yet you cannot find puzzle rush?