Lol. No. Hikaru is no danger of ever reaching Carlsen's peak rating in classical.
For Carlsen, he will not reach 2900, much less 3000. People don't understand how the ratings pools work. It matters how good Carlsen is, of course, but his rating cannot increase unless his peers also increase. As long as only a handful of players are over 2800, Carlsen cannot reach 2900. He would have to play only them, and he would have to have a win rate that would be infeasible. And there are actually less 2800+ players now than several years ago.
Think of the ratings pool like an expanding balloon. High rated players are on the "edge" of the balloon. But you cannot leave the balloon. You can only go as far the very edge of the balloon allows. In order for anyone to ever have a 3000 rating, the whole balloon either has to expand, or the balloon has to attenuate...i.e. if enough players climb into, say, the mid-2850s range to create "scaffolding" for a stronger player, then breaking 2900 becomes possible for someone like Carlsen in relation to his peers.
the bigger issue is, that he isnt THAT good in relation to his peers. He will draw agaisnt his peers esp as black enough times to stop any slow grind in its tracks.
but he has been like what? 2870? never say never. But 3000 is absurd
Lol. No. Hikaru is no danger of ever reaching Carlsen's peak rating in classical.
For Carlsen, he will not reach 2900, much less 3000. People don't understand how the ratings pools work. It matters how good Carlsen is, of course, but his rating cannot increase unless his peers also increase. As long as only a handful of players are over 2800, Carlsen cannot reach 2900. He would have to play only them, and he would have to have a win rate that would be infeasible. There are actually no 2800+ players now other than Carlsen. In 2015 or so there were 5-10 players that were over 2800.
Think of the ratings pool like an expanding balloon. High rated players are on the "edge" of the balloon. But you cannot leave the balloon. You can only go as far the very edge of the balloon allows. In order for anyone to ever have a 3000 rating, the whole balloon either has to expand, or the balloon has to attenuate...i.e. if enough players climb into, say, the mid-2850s range to create "scaffolding" for a stronger player, then breaking 2900 becomes possible for someone like Carlsen in relation to his peers.