Sindarov winning the candidates was clear after his performance in the first games
The problem is Sindarov vs Gukesh. If Gukesh was in the candidates, then Sindarov will most likely beat him. But right now, it's hard to say since Gukesh is kinda known for his prep, and he might try to create some Sindarov-counter style and lines. I think both really have good chances and it's hard to decide. I would say the odds for winning are 60% for Sindarov compared to 40% for Gukesh
I certainly agree with this, and Gukesh has shown good resilience in the past (he has dropped quite a bit in rating recently, but my pick goes to Sindarov (he's been my favourite player since the 2021 World Cup, so it's cool to see him make it this far!) Either way, it will certainly not be a one-sided championship, though.
Personally, I think he might win, then again, he might not.
That’s probability for you :)