so far there haven't been any major unsets. low 2700 losing to high 2500 or 2600 is no big deal, I believe a 100 fide point difference is about 2/3 winning chance for the higher rated player.
One correction, there was one big upset Gelfend knocked out by a 2512 player.
16 out of 64 matches the lower rated player moved forward.
Hi occurrence of draws though, too, between the elites and 2500 - 2600. Not so much the upsets, anyone can have a bad day or week. As for Gelfand, I sympathize, but he seems to be in a slump since that mini match he played a month or so ago. I guess at the higher level of ELO it takes more game for the stats to pan out.
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I'm looking at all the draws and losses of the 2700+ Super GM`s at the World Cup, and I'm asking myself, `why is this happening?` Could it be that they are so used to playing only other Super GM`s that they're thinking these 2500 and 2600 players are going to be a cakewalk? Only to find out that these are also strong GM`s, maybe not as consistent as the Super Elite, but still perfectly capable of beating strong competition. Or, are the Super GM`s going into tie break rapid games on purpose, thinking they'll have a better chance mixing it up in a rapid game. What do you all think?