No idea.
But again, it seems reasonable to me. If you posted no speed limit, then people's speed may be very different, so I think that would increase crashes
But letting people drive however they want would probably give you a good estimate for what the speed limit should be, because on average people probably pick a good speed.
I guess average is a little too slow though. It seems 85th percentile is good. Why 85? Maybe they wanted to test that because that's roughly 1 standard deviation on a bell curve. Other than that I don't know.
I see, anything within a Z-Score of 1 was a good estimate.
I know what percentile means, I was asking how they determined that 85% was the best benchmark to split the difference.
Sorry, I'll delete that then. I misread your question.