Is Chess Something We Can Solve?

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Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

On the other thread, Elroch was criticisting and getting his herd of trolls to goad tygxc for depending on heuristics to sove chess, which he claim leaves some doubt because they aren't deductive. So I asked Elroch in what way he could represent chess mathematically in what would be an exact way, which could be then solved as a set of equations.

...misunderstanding what constitutes a set of mathematical models, provable theorems, etc.

Of course, I know it's an impossibility since my son is a real mathematician and he has told me that chess cannot be represented mathematically.

He barely speaks to you. You didn't even know what his job was until a couple of weeks ago. You've interacted with us at least an order of magnitude more often, Perhaps approaching two...ergo, anything he has told you is surface level, and your son's understanding of the situation is predicated on your own lack of understanding and contorting the narrative.

He's a far more qualifiied mathematician than Elroch.

Unclear, at best.

So Elroch then claimed that he could write a program that would represent chess mathematicially. I told him that would make him extremely famous, since better mathematicians say it's impossible. I'm not clear where the discussion went from there but I think there was some back-tracking. Then Elroch's trolls got very active again but I was doing one of my business deals, which took me a good few days.

Were you sorting lots of marbles, like last time you used this excuse? Did you buy a truckload of bric-a-brac?

Last time I heard, Elroch is happy to treat solving chess heuristically except when tygxc is doing it. When ty does it, it's wrong, invalid etc.

Posters are relatively happy to discuss heuristics as long as they are not used as the lynchpins of a false "proof". The reasons why are obvious.

Tgxc's main error was to get all hooked up with a chess GM called Svesnikov and take on board what he said, which was very likely to have been drink-powered. Tygxc has a lot of good ideas but the trolls like Mega won't leave him alone since ty seems to have been a mathematician although he refuses to tell us of his qualifications.

But you believe him regardless.

Mega is either a first year maths student or an alt. In either case, he attempts to argue from authority. Playerafar likes telling everyone how wonderful everyone is but me. I have a sneaking feeling he may be on an agenda. He isn't vey bright but then who would be bright if they troll for Elroch? It isn't something that would attract clever people.

Improbable delusions bolded. Occam's Razor applies.

To the OP...posting this thread was a mistake. Rather than getting a better discussion, you just create another platform for Tygxc and Optimissed. If you ask a mod nicely, they will delete it for you if you are not happy with your result...

Avatar of DiogenesDue
MARattigan wrote:
Optimissed wrote:
MARattigan wrote:

I think he was talking to me @Optimissed, but with the interposition of one of your rare posts, it would have needed some tiny inkling of what the discussion was all about to recognise that.

There's no reason he should have been talking to you except that you're a troll, of course.

It could have been because I asked him the question. Did you consider that?

Optimissed never lets reality get in the way of a good delusion. All questions are asked to him. When he makes a mistake replying to Elroch and says it's you, the new reality becomes that you deleted your posts. Etc.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

So why did you point it out to me, obviously imagining it was something I'd missed? Is it the company you keep that lowers your expectations of others?

He knows you don't remember a lot of things and contort what you do, I suspect.

Sorry to others for the flurry of posts, I just got back to my desktop PC after the weekend.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

But is they disagree with you in any way, Elroch, (a good argument to you is something you agree with) then you will go to absi=olutely any lengths because you are only interested in being seens to win but your small band of supposters. I have won many arguments with you on a varriery of subjects but you have never has the good grace to admit it.

You joked a wek or two ago that if I resat an IQ test I would struggle to reach double figures. I'm over ten years older than you are and I think I would still outscore you. Not the way I'm feeling atm though because I just had bird flu, according to my wife. Careful, it's catching from the typeface.

You also misrepresent and routinely use dishonest means so don't accuse others of what you cannot control in yourself. One thing you said that was true is that I definitely am among those who miss Pfren. We'd become friendly after a year or so of pecking at each other. We liked each other.

I'd believe that, if it came from him. You routinely mischaracterize what happens in PMs to either attack others indirectly, or to associate yourself with people that you want to suck up to.

I should point out that you suck up to people, use your own family to argue from authority, etc. *because* you can't win arguments here.

P.S. You probably had Covid again, for the half dozenth time by your own accounts, being unvaccinated and all.

Avatar of Optimissed
DiogenesDue wrote:
Optimissed wrote:

So why did you point it out to me, obviously imagining it was something I'd missed? Is it the company you keep that lowers your expectations of others?

He knows you don't remember a lot of things and contort what you do, I suspect.

Sorry to others for the flurry of posts, I just got back to my desktop PC after the weekend.

Just pointing out for the benefit of those who don't know you that you live in a fantasy world, constantly trying to make reality fit it. You're crazy, as everyone knows. Just a heads up.

Avatar of Optimissed

Must be sad to be you.

Avatar of Optimissed
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

theres a guy on chess.com called @tygxc who is known to drastically misrepresent research on chess solving to try to justify a delusional fantasy he has. his claims have been debunked extensively on other forums, and it is not worth engaging with him. I'm just here to warn you guys ahead of time so tygxc doesnt get taken seriously.

Tygxc does not understand the concept of a mathematical proof, so do not enter conversation as if basic logic holds in his mind.

For example, when we pointed out that he cant just disregard positions based on conventional wisdom instead of rigorously proving it, he pulled out a merriam webster definition of 'proof' as if it countered our requirements for mathematical rigor.

tygxc is also famous for claiming that a lack of counterexample provided constituted as evidence/proof. this is the appeal to ignorance fallacy, and when I linked him to explain how it was a fallacy, he proceeded to ignore it and continues repeating the fallacy to this day.

There's a guy called megachess who claims to be a first or second year maths student. My degree's in philosophy but I've forgotten more maths than he ever knew. Constantly talks down to people. Just another of the trolls we know, love and ignore.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

Must be sad to be you.

You're back to the "...and another thing" follow up posts. Two stages away from taking your toys and going home for a while, but first comes the implosion...

Avatar of Ethan_Brollier
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

@Ethan I'm willing to bet $100 that you will end up in the same position as I in time, if you choose to go down the tygxc delusion rabbit hole.
++ Considering I've been interacting with him for 2 years, I sincerely doubt that.

Also, here's some life advice: just because a person is good at chess, that doesn't make them smart.
++ True. Neither does being educated.

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/chess-will-never-be-solved-heres-why?page=637#comment-103648529here's tygxc claiming that the amount of work needed to solve chess was done by doing 100 games, in addition to him falsely representing some definitions. for example, a method for black guaranteeing a draw isn't enough to be considered a weak solution of the game, because it does not prove that black cannot win from the start position.
++ Stop lying. These were his exact words:
"For all practical purpose chess is ultra-weakly solved and it is a draw.
Chess is not yet completely weakly solved, i.e. indicating how to draw. The 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF World Championship Finals are at least part of a weak solution.
Strongly solving chess to a 32-men table base of 10^44 positions is beyond present technology."

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/chess-will-never-be-solved-heres-why?page=443#comment-80199931here's tygxc making that claim again word for word, alongside a long-disproven proposal that chess could be weakly solved in 5 years.
++ Considering you lied about his earlier claim AND claim here that engines that incorporate 10^9 nodes per second are hugely inaccurate, I refuse to even dignify this with a response.

https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/chess-will-never-be-solved-heres-why?page=439#comment-80046541here's some random tygxc lies, where he claims chess errors follow a poisson distribution. (I will write my responses in green for this one) (@tygxc quote in blue)++ You are once again lying about what he said. He NEVER claimed chess errors follow a Poisson Distribution. He even clarified this point after you asked for clarification. His exact words: 

"The ICCF WC Finals is sufficiently strong. As calculated there are at most 2 errors / game,so there never occurs a double error and the errors are not coupled.The Tata Steel Masters is not sufficiently strong, as at least one blunder (??) or double error occured changing a win to a loss.Even then Poisson is a good approximation and the calculation is almost correct.Maybe for Tata Steel Masters the real distribution of errors per game differs slightly from the one calculated by the Poisson distribution, but the conclusions stay the same."

however, chess errors (in the ICCF World Championship Finals) only follow one of the four axioms needed in a poisson distribution. (false)

- k is the number of times an event occurs in an interval and k can take values 0, 1, 2, ... . (this one is true) (agreed, this axiom is true)- The occurrence of one event does not affect the probability that a second event will occur. That is, events occur independently. (as you know, a chess game that has errors on it is likely to have other errors, as more difficult lines are missed by both players) (False. Current engines evaluate all positions equally, ICCF players use these. This axiom is true)- The average rate at which events occur is independent of any occurrences. For simplicity, this is usually assumed to be constant, but may in practice vary with time. (as you know a chess game has less errors in the opening, so this is false) (False. Current engines evaluate all positions equally, opening, middlegame, and endgame. This axiom is true)- Two events cannot occur at exactly the same instant; instead, at each very small sub-interval, either exactly one event occurs, or no event occurs. (you can go to the thread yourself and personally verify that tygxc counts a blunder from a win-> loss as a double error, thus violating this axiom as well) (This did not happen in the ICCF WC Finals, only in Tata Steel Masters, which he claimed did NOT strictly follow Poisson Distribution. This axiom is true)
++ As all four axioms are true, the ICCF World Championship Finals follow Poisson Distribution.

 https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/chess-will-never-be-solved-heres-why?page=440#comment-80148381tygxc simply says that none of this happens under a "sufficienly strong" tournament, but never elaborates. this is because tygxc is simply assuming that it is true. there is no reason why a 3000 rated engine might not (rarely) make such a double blunder in a precarious position.
++ Back to lying through our teeth, are we? He already talked about this: 
"the fact that it would even be POSSIBLE for a double error automatically disqualifies it"++ No, something that could occur but does not occur does not disqualify.

You can find each of tygxc's misrepresentations that I mentioned there and personally verify them.
++ I went through and verified the ones above. Congratulations, you only solidifed my opinion that you don't know what you're talking about and that @tygxc does know what he's talking about.

Avatar of Ethan_Brollier
GYG wrote:
Ethan_Brollier wrote:

In conclusion, you come across as a troll who personally attacked a valued member of the community

Nobody thinks tygxc is a valued member of the community. In fact, given how prolifically he posts bullcrap, and the tendency for many of chess.com forum posts to come up as google results, he has likely stunted the growth of more young chess players than nearly anyone else on the website.

My opinion may be skewed considering I'm almost exclusively on the "Chess Openings" side of the forums, where I haven't really seen him post anything controversial, I'm willing to admit I may not see the full picture here.

Avatar of Ethan_Brollier
MARattigan wrote:
GYG wrote:
Ethan_Brollier wrote:

First, I've seen valued members of the community leave permanently due to personal attacks like these over sustained periods of time. @pfren comes to mind

Funnily enough, not only is pfren still here, but he has already posted on this topic under his new account.

Nice to know - which is?

GYG wrote: @Mazetoskylo

Oh really? That's awesome. I thought he knew what he was talking about, I didn't know he was pfren.

Avatar of MEGACHE3SE

looks like itll take longer than I thought to get you to understand tygxc's folly. but luckily many of your errors are extremely basic. im still down to make the $100 bet. are you?

"(False. Current engines evaluate all positions equally, opening, middlegame, and endgame. This axiom is true"

error rate ≠ how much an engine evaluates a position. you make this mistake multiple times.

"++ Stop lying. These were his exact words:"For all practical purpose chess is ultra-weakly solved and it is a draw.Chess is not yet completely weakly solved, i.e. indicating how to draw. The 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF World Championship Finals are at least part of a weak solution.Strongly solving chess to a 32-men table base of 10^44 positions is beyond present technology.""

Not a lie at all. you are simply referring to a different comment by tygxc, (notice how i point out that the forum re ordering makes it so comment links do not work). in addition, even the entirely seperate comment you cite has falsehoods. the games in ICCF are not mathematically proven to be errorless on either end so cannot represent a weak solution. tygxc claimed that the equivalent work was done in ICCF as would be required in a weak solution because he calculated that the ICCF used 10^17 total nodes, and the weak solution had 10^17 total positions, so the work would be the same. (according to tygxc).

" Considering you lied about his earlier claim AND claim here that engines that incorporate 10^9 nodes per second are hugely inaccurate, I refuse to even dignify this with a response."

Again, never lied. and never claimed that, you are twisting words.

"(This did not happen in the ICCF WC Finals, only in Tata Steel Masters, which he claimed did NOT strictly follow Poisson Distribution. This axiom is true)"

you have no evidence that it didnt happen, nor can you prove that it wont happen again in the future. it's an imperfect engine evaluation of positions, so by definition such errors are possible, which make the axiom false. On the tata steel, in actuality, tygxc did indeed originally claim that tata steel followed the poisson distribution, but we brought direct proof that it didnt so he back tracked.

 No, something that could occur but does not occur does not disqualify.

Maybe you should try reading the axioms again. it says CANNOT occur, not DOES not occur. 

You seem to be missing the part of my comment which pointed out how the forum reordering broke the specific comments that i was referring to.

Avatar of Ethan_Brollier
Elroch wrote:
Ethan_Brollier wrote:
MEGACHE3SE wrote:
Ethan_Brollier wrote:
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

theres a guy on chess.com called @tygxc who is known to drastically misrepresent research on chess solving to try to justify a delusional fantasy he has. his claims have been debunked extensively on other forums, and it is not worth engaging with him. I'm just here to warn you guys ahead of time so tygxc doesnt get taken seriously.

Tygxc does not understand the concept of a mathematical proof, so do not enter conversation as if basic logic holds in his mind.

For example, when we pointed out that he cant just disregard positions based on conventional wisdom instead of rigorously proving it, he pulled out a merriam webster definition of 'proof' as if it countered our requirements for mathematical rigor.

tygxc is also famous for claiming that a lack of counterexample provided constituted as evidence/proof. this is the appeal to ignorance fallacy, and when I linked him to explain how it was a fallacy, he proceeded to ignore it and continues repeating the fallacy to this day.

That's a lot of words to say you hold a grudge against someone simply because you aren't skilled/experienced enough to understand the words coming out of their mouth.

You havent seen the full extent of tygxc's illogic so I can understand why you would think that I'm having some sort of reaction. I'm actually very reserved and quiet when someone is making a good or complex argument against me (even when I don't particularly like the contents).

But, would you rather waste your time with him just so you can reach the same position as I have, or would you rather just ignore both tygxc and myself and get better info elsewhere? I dont care if you dont listen to me. it is just important that people aren't mislead by tygxc.

btw in the last 24 hours, tygxc has:

1. Misrepresented the contents of a data set, and when called out on the misrepresentation, stopped linking the data set and instead linked the overarching site itself, claiming (falsely) that his purported data set was elsewhere. He was pressed to give the specific data set but refused to do so.

2. Misrepresented what a statistic referred to (I was literally just quoting the paper that he claimed supported him and he called my quote wrong)

3. Falsely claimed that a set of 100 computer games was the equivalent work to proving that chess was a draw. (based on several basic arithmetic errors, tygxc confusing a node with a full positional analysis in order to make the correct move, as well as claiming without evidence that the computer games did not contain errors).

4. Misrepresented the contents of a researcher's work (he claimed that the researcher made a specific conjecture, when in reality no such conjecture could be found in the researcher's work, and tygxc was unable to provide any instance of even the number he claimed was conjectured.

First, I've seen valued members of the community leave permanently due to personal attacks like these over sustained periods of time. @pfren comes to mind, this post gives a bit of insight into the issue: https://www.chess.com/forum/view/community/why-arent-titled-players-more-active-in-the-forums?page=1

Second, I say this not to offend but to inform, you come across as a troll. You're a meme profile 1400 bullet player, so your credibility is dubious to begin with,

He has demonstrated having the necessary understanding of maths to discuss what is technically a mathematical problem (in the branch of maths called combinatorial game theory).

and it didn't help that when you responded directly to him you were just incorrect on all accounts. Barring the baseless accusations (lack of understanding of mathematical proof, and the direct quote "tgxyc pretends that it is rigorous"):

  • He never mentioned an engine evaluation. Any experienced chess player can tell you that a pawn is roughly equivalent to three tempi, and so White is roughly +0.33 in terms of material at the start of the game. There is a positive correlation between the value of tempi and the number of active pieces on the board, and so in general every move does dilute the value of this first-move advantage.
    @tygxc has mentioned engine evaluations on dozens of occasions and implicitly relied on them in everything he posts. He trusts Stockfish when it ignores the large majority of legal moves based on evaluation. He has for example said that an optimal move will always be in the moves with the top 4 evaluations. There are many other examples. He does combine this with absolute faith in human judgement. For example, he says 1. a4 can be ignored in a solution of chess.
  • Everything I can immediately think of that he says IS in fact general chess knowledge, such as chess is a draw, "enter dubious opening here" is dubious, 1. e4 is best for White and 1. e4 e5 and 1. d4 d5 are best for Black
    General chess knowledge is basically irrelevant to the solution of chess, since only a tiny number of positions have been seen by humans. Solving the positions reached by a chosen opening book is scarcely any easier than solving chess (on a log scale).
  • His quotes are not out of context considering they are from masters in their field and pertinent to the topic.
    Relevance to playing chess is not the same as relevance to SOLVING chess.

Third, you don't actually have a source to back up... any of your claims. His sources may be appeals to ethos at best, but they aren't intended to be sources. They're intended to be visual aides. When he says chess is a draw, that's common knowledge

It's not knowledge in the mathematical sense. It is a common belief, thought of as certain by people who don't understand uncertainty. Based on all valid reasoning (rather than bold proclamation and personal feeling), it is merely very likely true, not certain.

(which you DO NOT have to cite in essentially any form of essay or debate) and so his link to the ongoing 2022 ICCF Worlds is not a source or a citation, it's a visual aide to show that the strongest human chess on the planet currently is leading to a VAST majority of draws.

This would be entirely explicable by Stockfish lacking some insight. Its evaluations guide every move by both sides. And if you think Stockfish is near perfect, remember it makes fatal blunders in 7 piece tablebase positions all the time. There are statistical arguments that it is more likely that the optimal result is a draw. All such arguments are uncertain.

Meanwhile, you have made various brazen claims about his lack of credibility with nothing to back any of them up except your word. Also, calling something a fallacy does not prove it false whether or not it is a fallacy.

I confirm his lack of credibility. He misunderstands what a weak solution is (i.e. apparently accidentally gets the definition wrong) and obstinately refuses to accept the definition of a proof. These facts are not incidental, they are the motivation for his posts, most of which are unfortunately irrelevant to a solution of chess. (Eg it is not ok to ignore 1.a4 because it is "obviously" bad).

In conclusion, you come across as a troll who personally attacked a valued member of the community baselessly using argument from fallacy because you don't understand that common knowledge doesn't need sources.

You are in the wrong paradigm. Solving a combinatorial game requires rigor.

Hence my statement, that's a lot of words to say you hold a grudge against someone simply because you aren't skilled/experienced enough to understand the words coming out of their mouth.

You have this backwards.

If you can prove my statement false by backing your points up with actual proof and attacking tgxyc's POINTS instead of him personally, I'll address them. Until then, though, I will continue to defend his credibility as it stands.

Odd that you have avoided reading all the examples of faults being pointed out in what @tygxc posts.

Considering all of your responses to me are in regards to one specific forum I hardly knew EXISTED until a week ago, this is all irrelevant.

Avatar of Ethan_Brollier
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

"(False. Current engines evaluate all positions equally, opening, middlegame, and endgame. This axiom is true" error rate ≠ how much an engine evaluates a position. you make this mistake multiple times.
++ Your only counterpoint to the third axiom was that "a chess game has less errors in the opening". Since the games from the data set do not have less errors in the opening due to my above reasoning which you did not refute, you do not have a point here. Axiom 3 is true.

"++ Stop lying. These were his exact words:"For all practical purpose chess is ultra-weakly solved and it is a draw.Chess is not yet completely weakly solved, i.e. indicating how to draw. The 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF World Championship Finals are at least part of a weak solution.Strongly solving chess to a 32-men table base of 10^44 positions is beyond present technology."

Not a lie at all. you are simply referring to a different comment by tygxc, (notice how i point out that the forum re ordering makes it so comment links do not work). in addition, even the entirely seperate comment you cite has falsehoods. the games in ICCF are not mathematically proven to be errorless on either end so cannot represent a weak solution. tygxc claimed that the equivalent work was done in ICCF as would be required in a weak solution because he calculated that the ICCF used 10^17 total nodes, and the weak solution had 10^17 total positions, so the work would be the same. (according to tygxc).
++ Since chess.com is making sources weird, I'm willing to rescind my statement on this one until I can figure out what really happen. Can you screenshot what you were referring to and post it here?

" Considering you lied about his earlier claim AND claim here that engines that incorporate 10^9 nodes per second are hugely inaccurate, I refuse to even dignify this with a response."

Again, never lied. and never claimed that, you are twisting words.
++ Your exact words: "you assume perfect play from each node, whereas engines that already incorporate 10^9 nodes a second are hugely inaccurate." That being said, I will rescind the first part of my claim again until I receive your source correctly.

"(This did not happen in the ICCF WC Finals, only in Tata Steel Masters, which he claimed did NOT strictly follow Poisson Distribution. This axiom is true)"

you have no evidence that it didnt happen, nor can you prove that it wont happen again in the future. it's an imperfect engine evaluation of positions, so by definition such errors are possible, which make the axiom false.
++ Considering the current ICCF World Finals is the only thing he claimed followed the Poisson Distribution, the part marked in red is incorrect at least. You have no evidence that it did or even COULD, as your only argument against it is that "engines are imperfect", however, an IM to GM rated player with 5 days/move consulting multiple of the best engines currently available run at the highest settings currently available will never make this mistake. Even if one engine misevaluates a positions from a guaranteed win into a guaranteed loss (A swing of a minimum of 3 points, as generally an advantage of more than +-1.5 is considered guaranteed winning, something which never happens, even using low-depth browser-based Stockfish 15 NNUE for under 5 minutes), the other multiple engines will catch the mistake as will the IM/GM.

On the tata steel, in actuality, tygxc did indeed originally claim that tata steel followed the poisson distribution, but we brought direct proof that it didnt so he back tracked.
++ This is good right?

 No, something that could occur but does not occur does not disqualify.

Maybe you should try reading the axioms again. it says CANNOT occur, not DOES not occur. 
++ True. I'll be more firm. It cannot occur.

You seem to be missing the part of my comment which pointed out how the forum reordering broke the specific comments that i was referring to.
++ That being said, I find it hard to believe he said such different things to what I responded to considering I checked the page linked, the page before, and the page after for all of your links. I'll reserve my judgement for now though.

Avatar of MEGACHE3SE

here is an example of tygxc claiming that it was the equivalent work done.

Avatar of Optimissed

All Elroch is trying to do is to validate his extreme bad manners towards someone who has made a few mistakes. I would be digging my heels in too if I'd suffered what tygxc has suffered. Fortunately I think I won my own argument with them. It's nothing but arguments from authority and they are not properly based on good praxis. I can't quite understand it. Elroch seems to be a well-established maths teacher or worker at Cambridge and has part-published some books. Yet the arguments are all over the place and seem to change according to expediency. Elroch has never ever accepted that there are divisions of opinion within mathematics. He always wants to stick to the misleading story that they are all in agreement together. He and I have differed in a lot of things and given that I'm a lot more intelligent than he is, you would have thought that I'd got maybe one thing right, once, perhaps 10 years ago! happy.png happy.png

Avatar of MEGACHE3SE

"Your only counterpoint to the third axiom was that "a chess game has less errors in the opening". Since the games from the data set do not have less errors in the opening due to my above reasoning which you did not refute, you do not have a point here. Axiom 3 is true."

I literally did refute it though. is it not true that engines are more likely to make errors in some positions over other positions? are you seriously trying to claim that?!?!?

I gave the opening as a simple example.

"you assume perfect play from each node, whereas engines that already incorporate 10^9 nodes a second are hugely inaccurate." "

Ohhh I forgot the context of that claim, my apologies. the context of that claim was in comparison to mathematically proven perfect play, of which other posters on the forum demonstrated multiple errors from those engines with that many nodes. You can have that, that is a mistake on my end. (of course I could get off on the technicality that the billion nodes per second didnt say how long the engine searched but that besides the point, well it is partially relevant to how long calculations would need to take on a weak solution but i digress).

' You have no evidence that it did or even COULD, as your only argument against it is that "engines are imperfect", however, an IM to GM rated player with 5 days/move consulting multiple of the best engines currently available run at the highest settings currently available will never make this mistake. Even if one engine misevaluates a positions from a guaranteed win into a guaranteed loss (A swing of a minimum of 3 points, as generally an advantage of more than +-1.5 is considered guaranteed winning, something which never happens, even using low-depth browser-based Stockfish 15 NNUE for under 5 minutes), the other multiple engines will catch the mistake as will the IM/GM"

this entire argument is relying on evaluations where I (and the axioms) ask for mathematical rigor. what's going on here is simply an attempt at making the visible error margin negligible in practicality to try to justify an adherence to an underlying mathematical structure.

the core error in tygxc's poisson distribution claim is that he's relying on the fact that it is near impossible to make falsifiable distinctions when the number of apparent 'instances' is essentially zero. Tygxc's use of the distribution was to try to make the argument that it proves that chess is a draw and that the games in the ICCF were essentially perfect. but that conclusion relies on the premise that the ICCF were already "sufficiently strong".

Id like to also point out that the poisson fiasco is only a side venture of tygxc's fantasy, it was just an example off the top of my head. it's just as fallacious as the rest of his claims but in case you were lead to believe that this is the core of my (and others) issues with tygxc I must correct that.

Avatar of Optimissed
Ethan_Brollier wrote:
MEGACHE3SE wrote:
Ethan_Brollier wrote:
MEGACHE3SE wrote:

theres a guy on chess.com called @tygxc who is known to drastically misrepresent research on chess solving to try to justify a delusional fantasy he has. his claims have been debunked extensively on other forums, and it is not worth engaging with him. I'm just here to warn you guys ahead of time so tygxc doesnt get taken seriously.

Tygxc does not understand the concept of a mathematical proof, so do not enter conversation as if basic logic holds in his mind.

For example, when we pointed out that he cant just disregard positions based on conventional wisdom instead of rigorously proving it, he pulled out a merriam webster definition of 'proof' as if it countered our requirements for mathematical rigor.

tygxc is also famous for claiming that a lack of counterexample provided constituted as evidence/proof. this is the appeal to ignorance fallacy, and when I linked him to explain how it was a fallacy, he proceeded to ignore it and continues repeating the fallacy to this day.

That's a lot of words to say you hold a grudge against someone simply because you aren't skilled/experienced enough to understand the words coming out of their mouth.

You havent seen the full extent of tygxc's illogic so I can understand why you would think that I'm having some sort of reaction. I'm actually very reserved and quiet when someone is making a good or complex argument against me (even when I don't particularly like the contents).

But, would you rather waste your time with him just so you can reach the same position as I have, or would you rather just ignore both tygxc and myself and get better info elsewhere? I dont care if you dont listen to me. it is just important that people aren't mislead by tygxc.

btw in the last 24 hours, tygxc has:

1. Misrepresented the contents of a data set, and when called out on the misrepresentation, stopped linking the data set and instead linked the overarching site itself, claiming (falsely) that his purported data set was elsewhere. He was pressed to give the specific data set but refused to do so.

2. Misrepresented what a statistic referred to (I was literally just quoting the paper that he claimed supported him and he called my quote wrong)

3. Falsely claimed that a set of 100 computer games was the equivalent work to proving that chess was a draw. (based on several basic arithmetic errors, tygxc confusing a node with a full positional analysis in order to make the correct move, as well as claiming without evidence that the computer games did not contain errors).

4. Misrepresented the contents of a researcher's work (he claimed that the researcher made a specific conjecture, when in reality no such conjecture could be found in the researcher's work, and tygxc was unable to provide any instance of even the number he claimed was conjectured.

First, I've seen valued members of the community leave permanently due to personal attacks like these over sustained periods of time. @pfren comes to mind, this post gives a bit of insight into the issue: https://www.chess.com/forum/view/community/why-arent-titled-players-more-active-in-the-forums?page=1

Second, I say this not to offend but to inform, you come across as a troll. You're a meme profile 1400 bullet player, so your credibility is dubious to begin with, and it didn't help that when you responded directly to him you were just incorrect on all accounts. Barring the baseless accusations (lack of understanding of mathematical proof, and the direct quote "tgxyc pretends that it is rigorous"):

  • He never mentioned an engine evaluation. Any experienced chess player can tell you that a pawn is roughly equivalent to three tempi, and so White is roughly +0.33 in terms of material at the start of the game. There is a positive correlation between the value of tempi and the number of active pieces on the board, and so in general every move does dilute the value of this first-move advantage.
  • Everything I can immediately think of that he says IS in fact general chess knowledge, such as chess is a draw, "enter dubious opening here" is dubious, 1. e4 is best for White and 1. e4 e5 and 1. d4 d5 are best for Black
  • His quotes are not out of context considering they are from masters in their field and pertinent to the topic.

Third, you don't actually have a source to back up... any of your claims. His sources may be appeals to ethos at best, but they aren't intended to be sources. They're intended to be visual aides. When he says chess is a draw, that's common knowledge (which you DO NOT have to cite in essentially any form of essay or debate) and so his link to the ongoing 2022 ICCF Worlds is not a source or a citation, it's a visual aide to show that the strongest human chess on the planet currently is leading to a VAST majority of draws. Meanwhile, you have made various brazen claims about his lack of credibility with nothing to back any of them up except your word. Also, calling something a fallacy does not prove it false whether or not it is a fallacy.

In conclusion, you come across as a troll who personally attacked a valued member of the community baselessly using argument from fallacy because you don't understand that common knowledge doesn't need sources.

Hence my statement, that's a lot of words to say you hold a grudge against someone simply because you aren't skilled/experienced enough to understand the words coming out of their mouth.

If you can prove my statement false by backing your points up with actual proof and attacking tgxyc's POINTS instead of him personally, I'll address them. Until then, though, I will continue to defend his credibility as it stands.

The reason the trolls are having a go at me is that a couple of months ago I tuned in to the is chess solved thread and noted they were just attacking tygxc. A couple of days later, they were still at it. megacheese is one of the worst trolls in that respect but they all take their cue from Elroch. I told them not to do it and when they wouldn't stop I decided to win an argument against Elroch, which isn't too difficult for me. I showed that Elroch's argumentation is inconsistent and changes to suit momentary necessity. I don't agree with some of the things that ty says but the point is that Elroch is just as bad and of course, none of the others can make an argument to save their lives.

You're right, they're trolls, they don't argue about points and it's simply ad hominem. It's really pathetic.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Optimissed wrote:

The reson the trolls are having a go at me is that a couple of months ago I tuned in the ther is chess solved thread and noted they were just attacking tygxc. A couple of days leter, they were still at it. megacheese is one of the worst trolls in that respect but they all take their cue from Elroch. I told them not to do it and when they wouldn't stop I decided to win an argument against Elroch, which isn't too difficult for me.

You're right, they're trolls, they don't argue about points and it's simply ad hominem. It's really pathetic.

Actual reality:

Optimissed has been trolling for a decade, and jumps into any and all threads where he sees his imaginary "secret cartel rivals" posting...he then embarrasses himself, but that makes him a minor celebrity with other trolls that can't win arguments, so he gets the ego boost he needs to keep flailing around ineffectually.

There's nothing unique or special about this thread in that respect.

Avatar of Optimissed

Ten years ago I wasn't believed by the majority. Only a sizeable minority regarded Dio, Elroch etc as trolls and general undesireables. Now I'm believed. Hence Dio's desperation.