Estimate ELO

I decided to post the games here to get an ELO estimate. The comment I showed above was from 2015, and I didn’t want to necropost, so I started a new topic (I dont know if necroposting applies to chess.com).

The same unrated player played as white in both games. In game 1, squishyfroggy12 played as black, and I played as black in game 2. The first game is not finished yet, as it is being played without time controls.

Game 1:
[Event "?"] [Site "?"] [Date "2023.09.29"] [Round "?"] [White "?"] [Black "?"] [Result "*"] [BlackElo ""] [Termination ""] 1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 d6 4. d4 exd4 5. Nxd4 Bd7 6. O-O a6 7. Ba4 Nxd4 8. Bxd7+ Qxd7 9. Qxd4 c5 10. Qd3 O-O-O 11. Nc3 b5 12. a3 Re8 13. Bg5 f6 14. Bh4 g5 15. Bg3 Kb7 16. a4 b4 17. Nb1 a5 18. c3 bxc3 19. Nxc3 Ne7 20. Rfb1 Nc8 21. Nd1

Game 2:
1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bb5 a6 4.Ba4 Nf6 5.O-O Nxe4 6.d4 exd4 7.Re1 d5 8.Nxd4 Qd6 9.Nc3 f5 10.Nxe4 fxe4 11.Rxe4+ dxe4 12.Nxc6 Qxd1#

Cool

In the next game, the same unrated player as before plays as white.

Game 3:

[Event "?"]
[Site "?"]
[Date "2023.12.08"]
[Round "?"]
[White "?"]
[Black "nathan47744"]
[Result "0-1"]
[TimeControl "Unlimited Time"]

1. e4 e5 2. Nf3 Nc6 3. Bb5 Nf6 4. O-O Nxe4 5. Re1 Nd6 6. Nc3 Nxb5 7. Nxb5 d6 8.
d4 a6 9. dxe5 axb5 10. Qxd6 cxd6 11. Bg5 Ne7 12. Bxe7 Bxe7 13. exd6 Qxd6 14. Ne5
O-O 15. Nf3 Bf5 16. b3 Bxc2 17. Rac1 Bg6 18. Nd4 Qxd4 19. Rcd1 Qb2 20. Rb1 Qxa2
21. Rb2 Qxb2 22. Rd1 Ra1 23. Rxa1 Qxa1# 0-1

Wow this is so amazing! I want to practice this kind of tactic!

Elo doesn't work like that. It's a statistical tool that'll give an average value based on % of points scored upon an average Elo rating for games actually played between rated players or against a rated player.

The fewer the games, the more the result is meaningless and can be the byproduct of several factors that have got nothing to do with chess (tired, sick, distracted, luck/bad luck, etc).

And then, of course, the truth that comes with it: the larger number (of games) the more accurate the result. As within a large number of games, external factors will triger a player and their opponents almost equally.

If you feel your value is not your rating, do that: plan and play like 30 games and see the change at the end of it. This should tell you your new current value, if it actually changed.