Predicating your winning chances solely on the likelihood that your opponent will die before you do is not chess.
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But the 30 years' younger person will lose on time because biologically the older person can control his excretory impulses more than a young person.
Not true. Incontinence is a problem for babies and the elderly, not for those in between (barring some medical condition).
Well, that would be if the elder person is 70 years or more of age (then the younger would be 40 or less according to your calculations).