#15
The number of possible chess games is irrelevant because of the many, many transpositions.
Even the position after 1 e4 e5 can be reached in billions of ways.
It is the number of chess positions that counts.
An upper bound is 3.8521*10^37
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2112.09386.pdf
#14
Chess even stays a draw if stalemate = win.
The paper shows that the draw rate increases with more time.
Compare figure 2 (a) and (b).
The number of games can be seen as irrelevant for other reasons besides transposition.
When there's a post which whoever decides not to respond to -
such a post still serves a purpose ...
Here's how:
By such posts being made - one can post around them !
And thus not make three consecutive ! Or even two consecutive.
It has a drawback and that is that the person who wants 'pingpong' can suddenly delete many of his posts! I've seen that done aggressively.
which leaves the other with 'many consecutive'.
Moral: wait for other posters. Other than from the one wanting endless intensely personal verbal tennis. He'll even see posts ignoring him as 'responses' to him. He'll look for 'bottom post' - whenever he's on.