Chess will never be solved, here's why

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Avatar of Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
tygxc wrote:

@12368

"very strong indication"
++ Those are weasel words. It is either true or false.
Chess is either a draw, a white win, or a black win.
The deductive argument as well as the 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF WC Finals compels the mind to accept that chess is a draw.

I suggest you go for accuracy rather than a condemnation of anything that frightens you. Objectivity is the attempt to bring in and accurately relate all the variables. Go for it.

So yes, it is either true or false but we are trying to establish whether it's true or false and that doesn't include assuming that we know the answer already.

@tygxc, see that @Optimissed also understands this point.

Avatar of tygxc

@12375

"you go for accuracy" ++ That is what I do.

"a condemnation of anything that frightens you" ++ Nothing frightens me, I do not even condemn the purists, or the agnosticists, or the trolls.

"we are trying to establish whether it's true or false" ++ The evidence is massive that Chess is a draw, i.e. the ultra-weak solution. We are trying to establish how to achieve the draw, i.e. the weak solution. I say the 110 consecutive ICCF WC Finals draws are at least part of the weak solution of Chess. These provide a redundant, but not yet complete answer.

Avatar of Optimissed
tygxc wrote:

@12371

"what solving a game means"
++ Again:
"weakly solved means that for the initial position a strategy has been determined to achieve the game-theoretic value against any opposition" per Games solved: Now and in the future

I know you have a puristic interpretation of all opposition meaning all legal moves, while I have a more realistic interpretation of all legal moves that strive against achieving the game-theoretic value

to oppose = to strive against, resist - Merriam Webster

1 e4 e5 2 Ba6? does not oppose, i.e. strive against black achieving the game-theoretic value of a draw.

Why can't you let that go and move on, rather than perpetually bringing it up? I agree that we can know that it's a loss. I even suspect that not knowing it reflects on the actual strength in chess of the commentator, never mind on logical purism. We don't need to be constrained to inhabit a world of mathematical purism, which is an ideal world, only loosely related to reality since it all depends on interpretation in any case. So just forget it and move on, or are you in some great fight of the dinosaurs to establish who has the best intellect here?

(Obviously really meaning second best tongue.png )

Avatar of tygxc

@12382

"Why can't you let that go and move on" ++ It is Elroch who perpetually accuses me of not understanding what weakly solved means. He holds a puristic view about 'all opposition' that gets nobody anywhere, while I hold a more realistic view.

"not knowing it reflects on the actual strength in chess of the commentator"
++ Maybe, I think it is a religious purism (ALL legal moves) and agnosticism (we cannot tell).

"We don't need to be constrained to inhabit a world of mathematical purism"
++ Mathematics is a very useful science, with many practical applications.
Most of mathematics has been derived to handle real world problems.
Some mathematics has some beauty in itself, but no practical use at all.

"or are you in some great fight of the dinosaurs to establish who has the best intellect here?"
++ No not at all. If I want to fight, then I play chess. I do not need to boast about intellect.
I find it funny to be insulted as having low intellect.
I am only interested in the subject of solving Chess and am only interested in the truth.

Avatar of Optimissed

They are getting really wokery at the top of the tree where the money goes, Llama.

Avatar of Optimissed
tygxc wrote:

@12382

"Why can't you let that go and move on" ++ It is Elroch who perpetually accuses me of not understanding what weakly solved means. He holds a puristic view about 'all opposition' that gets nobody anywhere, while I hold a more realistic view.

"not knowing it reflects on the actual strength in chess of the commentator"
++ Maybe, I think it is a religious purism (ALL legal moves) and agnosticism (we cannot tell).

"We don't need to be constrained to inhabit a world of mathematical purism"
++ Mathematics is a very useful science, with many practical applications.
Most of mathematics has been derived to handle real world problems.
Some mathematics has some beauty in itself, but no practical use at all.

"or are you in some great fight of the dinosaurs to establish who has the best intellect here?"
++ No not at all. If I want to fight, then I play chess. I do not need to boast about intellect.
I find it funny to be insulted as having low intellect.
I am only interested in the subject of solving Chess and am only interested in the truth.

I understand. There's a strange atmosphere on this thread and if I didn't know any better (I don't) I'd say it's childish. I don't mean you. Like 8 year olds boasting that their dad is better. Even so, as they say in the antiques game, "it is what it is". Any antiques around here care to contradict that?

I don't think you have a low intellect. I would say that you are bright although I have thought for a while that maybe some kind of tunnel vision is in play around some subjects. Maybe it's better put as a sort of goal-orientated vision. I may have already mentioned it because I can't really see player coming up with it by himself and people do copy me a lot, after leaving what they imagine to be a suitable interval. The ones who don't deny it are welcome to do it.

I am not above boasting. I mean, some people really ask for it, by doing exactly the same in a more implicit manner.

Avatar of Elroch
tygxc wrote:

@12382

"Why can't you let that go and move on" ++ It is Elroch who perpetually accuses me of not understanding what weakly solved means. He holds a puristic view about 'all opposition'

It's not a "view" it's the CORRECT understanding of the meaning of the term "weakly solved". EXACTLY as used in the solution of checkers.

that gets nobody anywhere, while I hold a more realistic view.

No. The realistic view is that it is impractical to solve chess.

It is not "realistic" to do something that is definitely different and to call it "solving chess". That is either delusional or obfuscatory.

As an excellent analogy, it is sometimes possible to prove that a number is prime. It is also sometimes possible to find properties of a number that make it extremely likely that it is prime without proving that it is a prime. The two are different things. The latter is NOT "proving that a number is prime". This is true even when the number is too big for it to be practical to prove it is prime properly. See https://www.britannica.com/science/pseudoprime 

"not knowing it reflects on the actual strength in chess of the commentator"
++ Maybe, I think it is a religious purism (ALL legal moves) and agnosticism (we cannot tell).

Actually, you have been the one who has been indulging in pontification and inappropriate claims of infallibility.

My analogy above led to the wiki article on Carmichael numbers, where you can find many examples of conjectures based on heuristic arguments. Some of these conjectures have been later proven, others not. Conjectures are sometimes proven false. The relevance of this is that you are: 

  1. asserting conjectures
  2. providing heuristic arguments
  3. falsely claiming this amounts to a proof
Avatar of littenz

hi

Avatar of Optimissed

hi

Avatar of Optimissed
Elroch wrote:
tygxc wrote:

@12382

"Why can't you let that go and move on" ++ It is Elroch who perpetually accuses me of not understanding what weakly solved means. He holds a puristic view about 'all opposition'

It's not a "view" it's the CORRECT understanding of the meaning of the term "weakly solved". EXACTLY as used in the solution of checkers.

that gets nobody anywhere, while I hold a more realistic view.

No. The realistic view is that it is impractical to solve chess.

It is not "realistic" to do something that is definitely different and to call it "solving chess". That is either delusional or obfuscatory.

As an excellent analogy, it is sometimes possible to prove that a number is prime. It is also sometimes possible to find properties of a number that make it extremely likely that it is prime without proving that it is a prime. The two are different things. The latter is NOT "proving that a number is prime". This is true even when the number is too big for it to be practical to prove it is prime properly. See https://www.britannica.com/science/pseudoprime 

"not knowing it reflects on the actual strength in chess of the commentator"
++ Maybe, I think it is a religious purism (ALL legal moves) and agnosticism (we cannot tell).

Actually, you have been the one who has been indulging in pontification and inappropriate claims of infallibility.

My analogy above led to the wiki article on Carmichael numbers, where you can find many examples of conjectures based on heuristic arguments. Some of these conjectures have been later proven, others not. Conjectures are sometimes proven false. The relevance of this is that you are: 

  1. asserting conjectures
  2. providing heuristic arguments
  3. falsely claiming this amounts to a proof

I wish you could move on from your response but you do seem to be stuck. It amounts to trying to force your opinions onto someone. I'm perfectly aware that you and tygxc are arguing from different places or standpoints. Both are valid. Wish you could recognise that and move on because it does look like you're the one who's stuck.

I know what you mean by "proof" but it's clear that tygxc is using a different, more pragmatic meaning. My impression is that he won't back down to a person trying to force their opinion onto him. I could reach an understanding with tygxc inside a week but you aren't on course to achieve it. It doesn't make you right because it's now obvious that he's standing up to what he sees as bullying by refusing to budge.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Luke-Jaywalker wrote:

when Optimissed meets an immovable object, what happens ?

He gets muted, after blowing a gasket.

Avatar of Thee_Ghostess_Lola

don't need to be constrained to inhabit a world of mathematical purism, which is an ideal world, only loosely related to reality

perfect

Avatar of Optimissed
DiogenesDue wrote:
Luke-Jaywalker wrote:

when Optimissed meets an immovable object, what happens ?

He gets muted, after blowing a gasket.

Doesn't seem that way to me. I think almost everyone but me blows their gaskets.

Avatar of Optimissed
Thee_Ghostess_Lola wrote:

don't need to be constrained to inhabit a world of mathematical purism, which is an ideal world, only loosely related to reality

perfect

Thankyou. You are clearly a person of great ability, as well as of great charm.

Avatar of Elroch

@Optimissed, firstly, no, I am not stating my "opinion", any more than I would be expressing an opinion if I said that 1+1 is not 3, but is 2. The mathematical sciences are not made up of a set of opinions, they are made up of a set of things that are known to be true. Note that it is not only not an opinion, it is also not "mine". I am communicating what is known.

Are you familiar with the concept of a proof? Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is a proof of the game value? If you look at a paper on the first part of the solution of checkers, you will see a reference to the proof tree (which is the analysis that rigorously proves the result from a given position, by reaching a position with known value at the end of every line). A proof tree does not just deal with opponent moves that seem playable, it deals with all LEGAL opponent moves, because proofs are rigorous.

I am actually rather sure that you understand that @tygxc uses heuristics (vague positional understanding and rough rules) and empirical evidence (game results and unreliable evaluations) to support a conjecture, then describes this as "solving chess". You have drawn attention to this on occasion.

Avatar of tygxc

@12397

"I am not stating my opinion" ++ You are imposing your interpretation. Using some CAPITALS does not make you right. Besides, laughing or insulting are no valid ways of proof.

"mathematical sciences are not made up of a set of opinions, they are made up of a set of things that are known to be true." ++ No. The Riemann hypothesis, Goldbach's conjecture and many more are assumed to be true but not yet proven. Ramanujan was famous for producing theorems without proof and claimed a Hindu Goddess told him in his dream.

"Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is a PROOF of the game value?" ++ Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is unnecessary for an ultra-weak solution? Example: Hex.

"@tygxc uses heuristics" ++ I use Chess knowledge.
That is allowed: 'Next to brute-force methods it is often beneficial to incorporate knowledge-based methods in game-solving programs.' Games solved: Now and in the future

"empirical evidence (game results"
++ Yes, 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF WC Finals, at average 5 days/move with 2 servers of 90 million positions per second, the strongest chess on the planet.

"and unreliable evaluations" ++ No. The 110 ICCF WC Finals games link the initial position to reliably known drawn positions in average 39 moves and in a redundant way.

Avatar of MaetsNori

All good points.

Though, wouldn't it also be safe to say that the high frequency of draws in ICCF doesn't necessarily prove that chess is solved ("softly", or whatever the correct term is) - as it might also simply prove that players with access to all the same tools will likely all play at the same level?

In other words, I'm assuming the ICCF top players all have access to the same engines and databases as each other - so isn't it rather expected that they'll all be drawing each other in their games ... ?

Avatar of Optimissed
Elroch wrote:

@Optimissed, firstly, no, I am not stating my "opinion", any more than I would be expressing an opinion if I said that 1+1 is not 3, but is 2. The mathematical sciences are not made up of a set of opinions, they are made up of a set of things that are known to be true. Note that it is not only not an opinion, it is also not "mine". I am communicating what is known.

Are you familiar with the concept of a proof? Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is a proof of the game value? If you look at a paper on the first part of the solution of checkers, you will see a reference to the proof tree (which is the analysis that rigorously proves the result from a given position, by reaching a position with known value at the end of every line). A proof tree does not just deal with opponent moves that seem playable, it deals with all LEGAL opponent moves, because proofs are rigorous.

I am actually rather sure that you understand that @tygxc uses heuristics (vague positional understanding and rough rules) and empirical evidence (game results and unreliable evaluations) to support a conjecture, then describes this as "solving chess". You have drawn attention to this on occasion.

The real discussion between you and tygxc is on a higher level ... on a kind of meta-judgemental or interpretational level. You are stating what is known in the context of your approach to mathematics, which is that of a mathematical purist. tygxc is attempting to state what is known to him, as a scientist-pragmatist. One approach is not "better" than the other.

Yes, ty uses heuristics and they may not all be good. I'm equally sure that there is no possible solution of chess via mathematics. The only possibility is via a more pragmatic, scientific approach. You may disagree with that and you may not like it but I am also stating what is known, by a different process of "knowing" than the deductive one you prefer. All deductive judgements must still be judged to be appropriate and that's where the assumptive thinking may lurk for those who think that syllogistic logic is a be-all-and-end-all.

Avatar of Elroch
tygxc wrote:

@12397

"I am not stating my opinion" ++ You are imposing your interpretation. Using some CAPITALS does not make you right. Besides, laughing or insulting are no valid ways of proof.

No, the meaning of proof in the mathematical science is not "mine" or an "opinion", The meaning of "weak solution" in the study of combinatorial games is not "mine" or an "opinion". It's a defined term.

"mathematical sciences are not made up of a set of opinions, they are made up of a set of things that are known to be true." ++ No. The Riemann hypothesis, Goldbach's conjecture and many more are assumed to be true but not yet proven. Ramanujan was famous for producing theorems without proof and claimed a Hindu Goddess told him in his dream.

No. These are not ASSUMED to be true, they are CONJECTURED to be true. Every competent person understands the difference. There is a large class of work in the field that is CONDITIONAL on the truth of the Riemann Conjecture. These results are not proven, they are proven to be true IF the Riemann conjecture is true. Very big difference.

It is very odd that you suggest Ramanujan's conjectures were theorems. A theorem is a proven result, not a conjectured one. Ramanujan was well aware of the difference.

"Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is a PROOF of the game value?" ++ Are you aware that a weak solution of a game is unnecessary for an ultra-weak solution? Example: Hex.

Of course I am. Are you aware that is irrelevant to chess, since there is no ultra-weak solution (nor a hint that one might be found)?

"@tygxc uses heuristics" ++ I use Chess knowledge.

Yes, in addition, you are unaware that chess knowledge of the type you mean is DEFINITELY heuristics.

That is allowed:

It's a free world: you can make as many blunders as you like. Just like in chess.com games.

'Next to brute-force methods it is often beneficial to incorporate knowledge-based methods in game-solving programs.' Games solved: Now and in the future

Now find one competent person who suggests that such methods can be used to solve chess!

"empirical evidence (game results"
++ Yes, 110 draws out of 110 games in the ICCF WC Finals, at average 5 days/move with 2 servers of 90 million positions per second, the strongest chess on the planet.

Yes, empirical evidence. (A tiny amount)

"and unreliable evaluations" ++ No. The 110 ICCF WC Finals games link the initial position to reliably known drawn positions in average 39 moves and in a redundant way.

Stockfish gets the evaluation fatally wrong in a huge number of 7 piece tablebase positions and blunders frequently playing itself in such positions.

What oracle are you using to check its evaluations in much more complex positions?

Avatar of Optimissed

^^ Again, you're making assumptions regarding the correct application of mathematical expertise. Those assumptions are subject to questioning. Merely your complete insistence that you're right raises questions regarding the assumptions you must have made for you to be so sure.