Could a 2000 rated player beat Magnus Carlsen?

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ThatGuyWhoIsBad

Slip a tranquilizer into his drink.

chessredpanda

ok that would be intresting he could slip and destroy pieces and arrested

ThatGuyWhoIsBad

And you'd be declared a prodidgy for beating him!

chessredpanda

lol what fun

chessredpanda

url please

chessredpanda

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z21qvvkZL80

chessredpanda

http://chess-teacher.com/product/self-taught-grandmaster/

Mandy711
jbomber732 wrote:

And you'd be declared a prodidgy for beating him!

Correct! Any  young 2000 who beats Carlsen would be a contender for the World Chess Championship in the future. 

vaity3
MSteen wrote:

Only if a miracle occurred. Magnus would have to be drunk, exhausted, and distracted--all at the same time.

Nice Answer

SmyslovFan
Steve212000 wrote:

Sure if he makes a mistake and the other player takes advantage of it. Why not?

That's pretty much the point: When Carlsen makes mistakes, they are usually so slight that a 2000 rated player wouldn't even know it, let alone know how to take advantage of it. 

And that's why not. Kinda like a college kid on a scholarship playing LeBron some 1 v 1 basketball. Sure, the college kid can play. But Lebron will win every time.

Ubik42
Steve212000 wrote:

Sure if he makes a mistake and the other player takes advantage of it. Why not?

Yes, the 2000 player may make the right move for the wrong reasons. I do it all the time. How do you think I win games?

I never know whether to troll, or be trolled, on these threads. You can just take the ratings and plug them into a calculator and compute the winning chances. Its not that hard. Its just advanced maths. Come back with a PHD and we can discuss.

Jion_Wansu

If a 2600 - 2700 player can hardly beat Carlsen then how can a 2000 player beat Carlsen? that's like saying if a 1000 rated player can beat a 1770 rated player.

Yidaki

No he couldnt, unless Carlsen was delirious, had a huge hangover from 10 beers, a bottle of vodka and had a threesome night before game

SocialPanda
Jion_Wansu wrote:

If a 2600 - 2700 player can hardly beat Carlsen then how can a 2000 player beat Carlsen? that's like saying if a 1000 rated player can beat a 1770 rated player.

The gap is much greater, as the difficulty of getting those 770 points (of going from 1000 to 1770) is much smaller than the difficult of getting those 800 points when you are going from 2000 to 2800.

Irontiger
socialista wrote:
Jion_Wansu wrote:

If a 2600 - 2700 player can hardly beat Carlsen then how can a 2000 player beat Carlsen? that's like saying if a 1000 rated player can beat a 1770 rated player.

The gap is much greater, as the difficulty of getting those 770 points (of going from 1000 to 1770) is much smaller than the difficult of getting those 800 points when you are going from 2000 to 2800.

The expected result over a long course of games is the same (it's the way Elo ratings are done). (The work needed to obtain those ratings is different of course.)

SocialPanda
Irontiger wrote:
socialista wrote:
Jion_Wansu wrote:

If a 2600 - 2700 player can hardly beat Carlsen then how can a 2000 player beat Carlsen? that's like saying if a 1000 rated player can beat a 1770 rated player.

The gap is much greater, as the difficulty of getting those 770 points (of going from 1000 to 1770) is much smaller than the difficult of getting those 800 points when you are going from 2000 to 2800.

The expected result over a long course of games is the same (it's the way Elo ratings are done). (The work needed to obtain those ratings is different of course.)

Thanks for the explanation.

I was thinking that since the knowledge/performance difference is different, the expected results were different.

SmyslovFan

Perform an elo calculation for tennis players. Your local club tennis pro would have no realistic chance against Djokovic or Nadal, and chess players don't have to worry about random factors such as heat waves. 

The math is the same, as are the chances of a 2000 rated player beating Carlsen.

komaromy31

The fact is that the Elo system just isn't that great, and it gets worse at the highest levels. Whatever the rating formula spits out as a 2000 win % vs Magnus is way higher than the real expectation.

Irontiger
komaromy31 wrote:

The fact is that the Elo system just isn't that great, and it gets worse at the highest levels. Whatever the rating formula spits out as a 2000 win % vs Magnus is way higher than the real expectation.

...based on...?

VicB

  Vishy Anand played a 2100 FIDE rated player in Blitz last year as part of
  an interview (interviewer was the 2100 FIDE player). His opponent got
  5 minutes with a 2 sec increment, Anand had 2 minutes with a 2 sec
  increment. Vishy checkmated him in something like 34 moves and
  used a total of 8 seconds on his clock. In the next game, he beat him in
  something like like 24 moves when his opponent dropped a rook and
  resigned. Anand had more time on his clock than when he started the
  game. I know the post was about Carlsen but I think this anecdote may
  be indicative of the strength of players of this caliber.

  --Vic.