It is sometimes really strange. 1 600 and 1 700 launch some attack and I just die, and these realistically stronger people just pace themselves to a draw.
Hah, that sounds like me. I "pace myself" right into a draw sometimes, and I generally don't play very aggressively.
They can't, is the answer.
Well, the average Joe don't really get to 1 800 in 2 years in the first place, so perhaps the phrasing of the average Joe is a bit of an exaggeration.
Ok, but 1800 OTB is about 500 points stronger than the OP so... for 2 years OP's progress is not slow but it's not fast either.
And I only mention it because master is an OTB title. Essentially he's saying he got to something like 1500 in 2 years, and now wants to get to 2200 in another "couple of years," which is probably not enough time.
It depends. I've seen some 1 900 people Uscf around 1900 rapid here as well. I am beating 1 500+ FIDE players (found their ratings on FIDE website), and it is not really such a strange occurrence now, they are rated around 1 700 rapid here, while playing longer games. Perhaps there is a difference between rapid rating here achieved with long games (60|0 and 45|45 I usually play) and rapid rating in 10 minutes pool, but I have no basis to be sure.
So I think 500 points difference is an exaggeration, at least for most of the people. I think the average difference on this level , at least in the rapid pool I am playing is around 200 points, but it probably varies a bit from person to person.
This is the best comparison I know of, as it is based on a survey if I remember correctly. Of course, that +/- 135 and +/-220 is a pretty wide margin and it can vary a lot.
https://chessgoals.com/rating-comparison/
And sure, you are correct that 2-3 years will probably not be enough, but a couple of years may be like 5-6 as well (although I know a couple should mean around 2). In any case, it would be a great achievement.
I edited that after I posted it. Yeah, 500 is too much.
I don't know much about rapid, I've hardly played it (not only on chess.com, but I've basically never played it online in general).
I've been impressed with exactly zero of the 1900s I've played in rapid so far (I don't think I've played anyone 2000 yet). But when I play a 2000 USCF player OTB it's really hard for me. IMO there's no comparison. Definitely multiple 100s of points difference... but how much I don't know.
I actually played a few 2 000+ players, and I have an equal to a positive score, on a sample size of like 5-6 games (mostly in 30|0 games when I can't wait for 60|0). Of course this doesn't mean anything, simply a coincidence, but some of them were exclusively playing 10|0 before that game, so perhaps it made some difference.
For whatever reason, people tend to play some calmer maneuvering positions where I have to worry mostly about how will my pawns look etc., at least those I've encountered. In those games, I was mainly able to survive tactics where I am bad at in my opinion and to get to the endgame, where I can sometimes hold my own against people better than myself.
It is sometimes really strange. 1 600 and 1 700 launch some attack and I just die, and these realistically stronger people just pace themselves to a draw.
In one game, I was totally lost, but the opponent thought he could sacrifice a rook and then get it back, but he couldn't and I won, and he had a ton of time left.