It's normal to fluctuate + and - 100. If 1500 is your peak, then you could easily go to 1300 after a bad period. Get a good night's sleep, ideally for a few days in a row, play at a time when you can finish a game without distractions and in a mood when you're willing to focus. Little things like this can make a difference. Sometimes I like to warm up with unrated games or by doing tactic puzzles. Usually my first game or two of the day is really bad.
Anyway here's your rating graph going back 1 year. I wouldn't think of you as an established 1500 yet, but you have been improving, and you've crossed 1500 a few times. Just keep at it.
I've played over 1000 games here - and recently reached as high as 1517 after a steady march upward from around 1400. But in the last 15-20 games I'm now back down to 1376 - and can't seem to do anything right. What in the world has happened?