Is there such thing as "luck" in chess?

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CMVertwitch

The luck to play with a human . There’s 1% chance to find a human real player in these servers there’s so much “trampas “ it’s all chesscom bots playing as users

GavFive55
I think that it’s skill if you can see the best moves and not about luck at all
CMVertwitch
Optimissed wrote:
TeamPabloJorge wrote:

The luck to play with a human . There’s 1% chance to find a human real player in these servers there’s so much “trampas “ it’s all chesscom bots playing as users

getting boring

It does get boring to be playing against engine users run by the platform yes it does

CMVertwitch

You’re wrong 😑 there are _more than we believe_ -and know- and we’re told about … we’re not told the whole story chesscom is hiding a list

crazedrat1000
Optimissed wrote: 

I know that you made an argument that computers may evaluate lines as equal when they are not and may decide between them based on an algorithm which isn't up to the task. However, that kind of thing is implicit in the understanding that engines, like humans, do not play perfect chess. I'm not sure, though, that that aspect of engine performance is stochastic, since their responses are programmed and the faulty algorithm is merely part of that. Fluctuations in operating performance may introduce a degree of randomness but generally it will not be a large degree.

The human-programmed error aspect isn't stochastic, but the genetic algorithms traditional engines use is. The source of randomness is the CPU clock. Which is a time measured in microseconds, or somewhere around there. However, the actual granularity you get is limited by the operating system, your typical operating system only reads the clock about 120 times a second. But some scientific computers have special hardware and OSs that allows them to generate these random seeds at much finer granularity. So computers have pseudo random number generation software, and it'll be initialized with a "random seed" taken from the clock whenever the program starts up... Whenever you press "go" on the chess engine. The random distribution is reproducible assuming you have the correct seed, but you never will get the same clock tic. But I can speak to this as an engineer. 
But of course the algorithm still reliably converges on a solution despite this mutation factor. 
I think the same is true for neural nets but I'm not entirely sure how that works, it's different though.

There's a website online random dot org where you can actually get random numbers drawn from this antenna some scientists have setup which detects microwave fluctuations in the atmosphere and converts this to a really high quality random number, sometimes I actually use these numbers for... experiments and so on. They're supposed to be higher quality than those you get from a computer. Which... I assume means the result of the "experiment" will be of a higher quality. But who knows.

PennsylvanianDude

No, most chess.com users are not bots, good lord people nowadays get so delusional...

CMVertwitch

The more randomness, the more variety in playstyles and unpredictability in moves.

Kotshmot
Optimissed wrote:

I think that you may have a little difficulty understanding what's being said, since you are arguing against people you agree with, much of the time. Maybe you just like arguments?

You must've mistaken me for someone else as I haven't been arguing against anyone here for a while. Don't worry about it.

OctopusOnSteroids
playerafar wrote:

If chess was solved - in other words thoroughly tablebased - and two computers equipped with such data were playing each other with plenty of time on the clocks for the time format assigned to the games then such events would simply be displays of known sequences.
Could there be any 'luck' in such a thing as to the result?
Sequences of data. Known sequences. Known data. Known result.
WIth most definitions of luck - not in that scenario. No.

Playerafar here lays the groundwork for the real answer to the question of whether there is luck in chess or no. No there isn't.

As you know, chess as a game gives you all the information you need to achieve the best achievable result. What process the player decides to use trying to get there doesn't matter because if you fail, it's all down to the lack of skill of the player. Computer, human skill, wahtever, it doesn't matter because a failure to achieve the best outcome is never due to luck. You could blame the designer that they made the game too hard. But you can never blame luck.

OctopusOnSteroids
Optimissed wrote:

^ I instinctively agree with ibrust. I think the arguments made on this part of the subject by Octopoid and Kotshmot assume a distinction which doesn't exist in the absolute manner which they depend upon. Do computers play perfect chess? Are they programmed and designed by humans?

What? Kotshmot clearly assumes the opposite of what I'm trying to say. He doesn't understand that the imperfect methods he desrcribes that are used to play chess don't result in any luck. The result in a failure to achieve what the game objective is.

OctopusOnSteroids
shreecateres wrote:

While chess is a game of skill and strategy, "luck" can play an indirect role in certain situations. Here’s how:

Opponent's Mistakes: If your opponent blunders or overlooks a tactic, it might feel like luck, though it's often a result of your pressure or their inattention.
Opening Preparation: You might "get lucky" if your opponent plays into a line you're well-prepared for, or if they are unfamiliar with it.
Time Pressure: In blitz or rapid games, luck can factor in when opponents make errors due to time constraints.
Human Factors: Fatigue, distraction, or miscalculations can lead to situations where luck appears to influence the outcome.

Hi chatGPT

OctopusOnSteroids

As you say yourself though the sources are external to chess. If we are going to agree that heart attacks are a part of chess, then there is no discussion to be had because everyone knows that would be luck. Why the discussion exists is because we should distinguish extrernal factors that aren't really a part of the game from internal things within the game rules. That is the only reason to have this discussion.

PlayerIDC

I think it's both because if you played good but you still lost, it's beacuse of skill, but of you're losing and your opponent blundered or didn't find the best move and won, it's because of luck.

playerafar

There is luck within chess whether from external or internal factors.
I gave an example of a situation where there would be 'no luck'
and OS tried to invalidly argue that that would apply to all situations.
Was that a cherrypick or a strawman or a distortion by OS?
I guess it was all three.
-----------------------------
And yes chess is a game of perfect information which everybody knows.
Whereas poker is not.
But whoever might try to distort the meaning of 'perfect' and imply that perfect information means you get a free night's stay with Room Service at the Hilton.
This discussion has certain characteristics where people are actually arguing about things they not only co-know are true but that they agree on too.
There's a lot of attempts to stretch or narrow what 'luck' means and 'chess' and 'game' or even the word 'in'.
----------------------
Would people care about 'luck in chess'?
Balances between luck and skill and effort and happenstance and coincidence pervade life constantly.
People are constantly occupied with such things.
So of course they care.
Casinos are filled with people wanting luck. Lotteries are popular. The track and so on.
Workplaces are filled with people not wanting to depend on luck to get paid.
And I just made a word 'co-know'.
Maybe somebody will get very excited about that.
Predictably. He reads 100% of my posts while I skip 90% of his content.
-------------------------------
Answer to the forum subject question:
Is there luck in chess?
Yes. And everybody knows it. 'Absolutely everybody?' One year olds?
Is it fun to disagree with the obvious? Does that happen a lot?
Is the world round?
Yes. And everybody knows it.
But 2% of the population 'has fun' pretending not to and claiming Flat Earth and 'choosing to believe that' while knowing something else.
Idea: Belief contradicting knowledge (within the same mind) is quite common.

OctopusOnSteroids
playerafar wrote:

Answer to the forum subject question:
Is there luck in chess?
Yes. And everybody knows it

Ah yes, the argumentum ad populum.

playerafar
OctopusOnSteroids wrote:
playerafar wrote:

Answer to the forum subject question:
Is there luck in chess?
Yes. And everybody knows it

Ah yes, the argumentum ad populum.

doesn't mean people admit it.
Why and how does everybody know?
Because its so obvious.
Are there things where many people think they know but they're wrong?
Lots.
Try - 'the outer layer of U238 encasing a hydrogen bomb is part of the nuclear fuel of Hbombs. The so-called 'depleted uranium'. An Hbomb is a fission-fusion-fission bomb'
That's true. But many people reject that robotically - thinking its just a protective outer casing. After checking it on the net though - they usually concede.
Why do they get it wrong?
Simple. They don't know.
------------------
But people do know there's elements of luck in sports and games and contests.
However much they might 'believe' and 'claim' to the contrary.
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There's something called 'legitimate controversy' ... where both sides have legitimate arguments and continue to have them.
The death penalty for example.
But that's so linked to politics I can't pursue it here.
-----------------------
would chessplayers often defend arguments they know aren't valid?
Sure.
WIth a kind of 'odds' contest mentality.
'Hey I can spot you a rook and still win!!'
happy

playerafar

Maintaining objectivity.
Would mean that one could argue that there's 'no luck' in the mathematical construct of rules of chess.
But the word 'chess' itself was not meant to be a mathematical term.
And isn't.
One 'O' versus the other?
Well - Op has an advantage over Oc this time. Oc happens to be wrong.
Lol!
Regarding Kotshmot - he's one of the best posters.

PennsylvanianDude

Bro what are these images I'm reporting now.

PennsylvanianDude

Yeah at least this is not IB

playerafar
PennsylvanianDude wrote:

Bro what are these images I'm reporting now.

The 'proportions' in the Angelina post?