The updated leaderboard, as of when this argument started:
Kasparov 39
Fischer 38
Capablanca 35
Morphy 15
Tal 11
Alekhine 6
Carlsen 5
Lasker 4
Karpov 4
Phillidoe 3
Botvinnik 3
Pterosian 2
Reshevsky 2
Nezhmetdinov 2
Steinitz 2
Khan 2
Kramnik 2
Fine 1
Larsen 1
Close, indeed.
Since the previous forum I was posting in was locked I shall continue the 'debate' in this forum.
The notion that Karpov is much better than Spassky in 'match' play is illusory as I will now show.
Many if not most grandmasters do indeed come down on the side of Kasparov being better than Fischer. However, when they express what criteria they use to come to that conclusion it will usually be things related to tournament play. The problem is, this does not correlate to who would win a 'match'. So why would they say Kasparov? I think several factors filter into this, for instance, it could be because tournament play is how they make a living and get their ratings, so why not give the nod to a great tournament player since it can't be 'proven' anyway. Also, lets face it, Fischer was definately politically incorrect and not the kind of person most people would want as their 'Babe Ruth' [jusk ask the ghost of Cobb]. Likely most modern day grandmasters have had more interaction with Kasparov than with Fischer, and hey, wouldn't you like to say you were in a tournament with the greatest player of all time? Whatever their reasons, I will show their proclamations are not based on 'match' evidence. e.g. Is not Capablanca called greater than Alekhine by most grandmasters inspite of the fact that he lost a match for the championship of the world to him by a score of 6-3 when both players were in their prime? That being said, I give this post;
I have studied the matches of many grandmasters [relevant to the topic] and boiled it down to a basic choice which I will now illuminate. [Is this proof of anything? Of course not, but it is evidence].
The crux of the equation is [as I thought it would be] is 'Korchnoi'.
Since longevity is ruled out by the Anderssen-Morphy scenario, and ratings and tournament results are ruled out by the Capablanca-Alekhine scenario, and 'accuracy' measurements by computers and teams of analists moving pieces around with no clocks ticking is pointless, and since an impossible match rendering 'actual proof' is non-existant, I offer the following; [What side you're going to come down on should hinge on which of the following two things you believe is more likely]
Spassky has said that his play declined markedly after his match with Fischer. The cold war pressure and threats against himself and his family destroyed his will to drive for the top. If this is true, Spassky was not in his prime in 1974 when he lost to Karpov 4-1. Now, is Spassky lying? Is there any 'evidence' that might corroborate his claim? You decide.
In 1974, in those same candidate matches, Karpov only beat Korchnoi by a single point 3-2. Now this is important, because when Spassky was in his prime he beat Korchnoi in match play with a +3 score [when Korchnoi was in his 30's]. Did Korchnoi suddenly blossom [at the age of 44] against Karpov? Further, in 1978 Karpov could only beat Korchnoi by a single point again. Even if Karpov was not in his prime in 1974 [and I do not believe he was] he was in his prime in 1978. Not much of an improvement. Now, for years there has been a type of 'circular reasoning' involved in the Kasparov - Fischer debate. Karpov's 'match' strength is always used to bolster Kasparov's 'match' strength, and vice versa [do 'you' see the problem with this Elroch?] If the luster gets knocked off of Karpov, then it gets knocked off of Kasparov as well, because even though Karpov did not win a match agains Kasparov, Kasparov failed to win 2 matches against Karpov, and an overview of all match games shows not much difference between the two players in wins and losses.
So then, to the point. Which is more likely? That Spassky's played declined in the face of 'cold war' pressure? Or, that Korchnoi suddenly blossoms as a chess player and is actually much better at 47 then he was not only in his 30's, but at any other time in his chess career?
What ever you decide, don't fool yourself into believing the 'evidence' put forth doesn't matter. Because it does. It doesn't 'prove' anything, but, it is an indicator.
Here's why, If Spassky is a better 'match' player in his prime than Karpov then Fischer crushes Karpov in a match, and since Kasparov never did anything like that, it would 'indicate' that Fischer was the better match player.
Now, would this really happen? I don't know, but I 'do' know that the pro-Kasparov people 'don't know' either. How can they be so confident that Kasparov would win that match when the evidence shows it unlikely?
Who really is better? I couldn't care less. But it's been fun trying to deduce the problem with logic
P.S. Pro-Kasparov people take heart, Kasparov never lost a match to Fischer in real life, so if he loses a mythical one he will likely still be considered better, after all Capablanca lost an 'actual' match to Alekhine, and he is viewed as better.