Kramnik is stronger then magnus

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sapientdust
bean_Fischer wrote:

You know, I like Nakamura, but saying that a player who is 0-7 in his career against Magnus is a sure win.

In case you don't remember Nakamura crasched Carlsen 2-1 in blitz match. And the stats for Nakamura vs Carlsen from 2005 -2013 (Tal Memorial) is -7 + 0 =13 on various Occasions.

So for a match I think Nakamura will repeat the history.

Nakamura has never beaten Carlsen in a slow game and has been beaten 7 times, many of them very painful crushes, and you think Nakamura would beat Carlsen if they played a bunch of slow games in a row? I think you've really lost it, bean. The history is that Carlsen dominates Nakamura in slow play.

bean_Fischer
sapientdust wrote:
bean_Fischer wrote:

You know, I like Nakamura, but saying that a player who is 0-7 in his career against Magnus is a sure win.

In case you don't remember Nakamura crasched Carlsen 2-1 in blitz match. And the stats for Nakamura vs Carlsen from 2005 -2013 (Tal Memorial) is -7 + 0 =13 on various Occasions.

So for a match I think Nakamura will repeat the history.

Nakamura has never beaten Carlsen in a slow game and has been beaten 7 times, many of them very painful crushes, and you think Nakamura would beat Carlsen if they played a bunch of slow games in a row? I think you've really lost it, bean. The history is that Carlsen dominates Nakamura in slow play.

But did they ever meet in a match besides the blitz where Nakamura won? And I tell you what. Nakamura secret is in his black glasses.  You may try to inspect them before the match.

SmyslovFan

Naka and Carlsen once played an all-night blitz match. The games were interesting, but Carlsen won fairly handily (23.5-16.5). Even in blitz, Carlsen is better than Nakamura. Carlsen has won a world blitz championship, Nakamura hasn't ... yet.

Nakamura is #4 in the world, has a plus score against both Kramnik and Anand in classical chess, and would not have much chance at all against Carlsen. That says something about just how good Carlsen is.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGXvcQP6VPo

sapientdust

smyslovfan beat me to it. A blitz match is totally irrelevant, but even there, Carlsen has beaten Nakamura decisively.

Time to retreat to another specious argument, bean.

bean_Fischer

The score is 1 - 1 in 2 matches. Can't tell who will win. Botvinnik remark is not broken yet.

sapientdust
bean_Fischer wrote:

The score is 1 - 1 in 2 matches. Can't tell who will win. Botvinnik remark is not broken yet.

I guess now you are really trolling, because even you couldn't be so stupid as to think that winning a 3-game "match" by 1 point is equal to winning a 40-game match by 13.5 points.

I'm undecided on whether you could really believe that blitz play is a better predictor for performance in slow chess than slow play though.

AngeloPardi
sapientdust wrote:
bean_Fischer wrote:

You know, I like Nakamura, but saying that a player who is 0-7 in his career against Magnus is a sure win.

In case you don't remember Nakamura crasched Carlsen 2-1 in blitz match. And the stats for Nakamura vs Carlsen from 2005 -2013 (Tal Memorial) is -7 + 0 =13 on various Occasions.

So for a match I think Nakamura will repeat the history.

Nakamura has never beaten Carlsen in a slow game and has been beaten 7 times, many of them very painful crushes, and you think Nakamura would beat Carlsen if they played a bunch of slow games in a row? I think you've really lost it, bean. The history is that Carlsen dominates Nakamura in slow play.

That's right, Nakamura has never beaten Carlsen. 
However, I would like to point out that Alekhine and Fischer had had never won a game against Capablanca and Fischer before defeating them in WC match.

nameno1had
SmyslovFan wrote:

Naka and Carlsen once played an all-night blitz match. The games were interesting, but Carlsen won fairly handily (23.5-16.5). Even in blitz, Carlsen is better than Nakamura. Carlsen has won a world blitz championship, Nakamura hasn't ... yet.

Nakamura is #4 in the world, has a plus score against both Kramnik and Anand in classical chess, and would not have much chance at all against Carlsen. That says something about just how good Carlsen is.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tGXvcQP6VPo

Nice post...one of the best I've seen of the subject

bean_Fischer
sapientdust wrote:
bean_Fischer wrote:

The score is 1 - 1 in 2 matches. Can't tell who will win. Botvinnik remark is not broken yet.

I guess now you are really trolling, because even you couldn't be so stupid as to think that winning a 3-game "match" by 1 point is equal to winning a 40-game match by 13.5 points.

I'm undecided on whether you could really believe that blitz play is a better predictor for performance in slow chess than slow play though.

Are you really that sure about something that has never happened before it happens that you already not only predict the result but claim it rightfully? So why the championship matches if anybody can claim any results before they happen?

lollolbuddha

AGree with OP

bean_Fischer
lollolbuddha wrote:

AGree with OP

+1. OP is right.

sapientdust
bean_Fischer wrote:
sapientdust wrote:
bean_Fischer wrote:

The score is 1 - 1 in 2 matches. Can't tell who will win. Botvinnik remark is not broken yet.

I guess now you are really trolling, because even you couldn't be so stupid as to think that winning a 3-game "match" by 1 point is equal to winning a 40-game match by 13.5 points.

I'm undecided on whether you could really believe that blitz play is a better predictor for performance in slow chess than slow play though.

Are you really that sure about something that has never happened before it happens that you already not only predict the result but claim it rightfully? So why the championship matches if anybody can claim any results before they happen?

I have not claimed certainty on anything about the future. Please note the words "best predictor" in my post, and ponder their meaning after looking them up in a dictionary.

I'm bowing out of further discussions with you here, as you seem incapable of actually having a rational discussion.

bean_Fischer

Nothing has happened yet. Anybody can predict. And I predict Nakamura is stronger than Carlsen in a match. Anybody can predict he is weaker. Those are not results. Those are called prediction. Q.E. D.

plexinico
Reb wrote:
paulgottlieb wrote:

Has everyone forgotten what a farcical snoozefest the last candidates matches were? They were a catastrophe! This time we got a thrilling tournament that wasn't decided until the last game ended. I think this was the most successful candidate cycle in many years

I agree 100% !!  I prefer the old system of head to head matches myself but this candidates tournament was certainly a HUGE improvement over what they had last time !  I think its fair that Carlsen goes through because he won more games , even though he also lost more games . The " GM draw " has become a real problem and FIDE is trying to discourage them as much as possible and to encourage/reward fighting chess they are using most wins as a serious tie break . I think this is good for chess and encourages all the players to fight as now a win is worth more than 2 draws .  ( at least when this tie break is used ) I also am relieved that I don't have to see another Kramnik/Anand match .  Kramnik had his shot and he was beaten handily , let's see a different challenger .  I predict Anand will beat Carlsen without much trouble . 

Talk about seeing the future... haha

SmyslovFan

Reb was wrong, but at least he was thinking for himself. I was hoping he'd be right, but Anand couldn't overcome his own fears.

At least there were a few interesting games in the match. But Carlsen won comfortably and really wasn't pushed until the last two games. 

beardogjones

Anand couldn't reconcile the fact that he was World Champion  with the fact that there were weaknesses in his game and knowledge. The same thing happened when Kasparov played Deep Blue - he was afraid of his own limitations - and even accused Deep Blue as having "Grandmasters" helping it.

fabelhaft
SmyslovFan wrote:
bean_Fischer wrote:
superking500 wrote:

Kramnik always plays stronger then magnus in tournaments and this tournament as well..

 

carlsen got lucky

+1.

Remember, this thread was not about the World Championship match, it was about the Candidates' tournament. Kramnik and Carlsen ended up tied at the end of that tournament. The tournament had a very odd rule that the player with the most losses advanced in case of a tie. Traditional tie-breaks would have favored Kramnik in that tournament

I don't know if it's a "very odd" tiebreak that most wins win, it has been used in the most prestigious tournaments like Linares for many decades. If the Sonnenborn Berger is supposed to be the "traditional" tiebreak I don't know why it's supposed to be more traditional or better than most wins (or most losses, as you prefer to see it).

Needless to say I don't agree with the "Kramnik always plays stronger than Carlsen in tournaments" quote either. The people writing such stuff have probably not followed any tournaments the last five years :-)

beardogjones

I had a tie break when I put too much starch on it.

fabelhaft
SmyslovFan wrote:

Carlsen made clear that he would not play in a match-play format to determine the World champion candidate and FIDE capitulated.

No, that is something he certainly never said. Carlsen didn't play the previous Candidates because FIDE replaced the longer Candidates match with knockout minimatches in the middle of the cycle. Carlsen (together with Aronian) urged FIDE not to change their rules, but FIDE didn't listen to them and Carlsen withdrew from the cycle.

Immediately after Kazan 2011 Kramnik said that he always had preferred the tournament format, and hoped FIDE would implement an eight player double round robin for Candidates. This is what FIDE also did. So to make this into FIDE capitulating for Carlsen's demands and introducing a "worse" tournament Candidates is not particularly correct.

cleocamy

What is the difference? They are both detriments to the game. 

Chess, nowadays, is all about seeing who is more of an old lady. I'm not going to say that either of them couldn't completly thrash the likes of Anderssen or Tal. They probably could. I'll give them that much. Still, neither one of them is likely to have the enduring glory that some of the old timers still have today.

Seems to me that chess, like a lot of things, goes in cycles. After Cappablanca it stunk for quite a while. Not necessarily the strength of the players but their inspiration. We had a brief comeback starting in the 50's and we are now back in a boring, lackluster phase.

It hardly matters who is better. Neither of them is memorable.