Thousands of professional players have dedicated decades, if not centuries, worth of their lives look for the absolute optimal opening moves assuming best play from both sides, and the best they've gotten is a +.2 evaluation from top engines. If chess was a forced win, that would've been figured out already.
It's probably way too early to figure if chess is a forced win or draw. Because humans are very limited in their abilities, it will probably come down to what a computer can figure out. But computers are in their infancy, barely able to tackle this problem. That's why I say it will probably be about 200 years or so before an intelligence comes close to figuring it out for sure. I agree the first move advantage in chess is very small, but it is there. The topic is whether or not chess is a draw with best play, not whether or not it's a draw with mistakes. That's why I think the first move advantage, even being so small, matters. Other games there is no first move advantage, because best play has been discovered. In checkers or some other games if the response isn't best play, then it's not a tie. Nobody knows what that is for chess yet.
Thousands of professional players have dedicated decades, if not centuries, worth of their lives look for the absolute optimal opening moves assuming best play from both sides, and the best they've gotten is a +.2 evaluation from top engines. If chess was a forced win, that would've been figured out already.