What are the odds that GM Bryan Smith could beat Magnus Carlsen in a match?
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Jan 9, 2017
0
#2
The ratings difference will tell you the statistically expected result if you research it, and you'll have your odds.
Jan 9, 2017
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#3
Looks like with a rating spread of 400 points, Magnus would score 92%, which might look like 8 wins and and 2 draws versus Bryan.
Thanks for looking that up. Isn't it kind of weird that two GM's can be so far apart? Normally two people with the same title will be relatively close in strength - Expert: 2000-2200, NM 2200-2400, FM roughly 2400 uscf-2500 uscf, IM roughly 2500 uscf-2600 uscf. But then 2600+ is just GM. I feel like there should be some additional title. "Senior GM" or something.
I think his chance will be better if they play live FE chess .
https://www.chess.com/forum/view/chess960-chess-variants/functional-exchanged-chess
I wonder what he would say, doesn't he write chess.com articles?
Jan 9, 2017
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#9
queenmary1 wrote:
Thanks for looking that up. Isn't it kind of weird that two GM's can be so far apart? Normally two people with the same title will be relatively close in strength - Expert: 2000-2200, NM 2200-2400, FM roughly 2400 uscf-2500 uscf, IM roughly 2500 uscf-2600 uscf. But then 2600+ is just GM. I feel like there should be some additional title. "Senior GM" or something.
Someone will remember this better than me... but there's a story about some guy getting the GM title and in one of his next tournaments he's talking to Korchnoi and excitedly says something like "now that I have my GM title we're peers!" and Korchnoi looks around the room, finds some low rated GMs, and points to them saying something like "those players are your peers, not me."
Jan 9, 2017
0
#10
I vaguely recall another story where a new GM is invited to play some training games with Botvinnik. The new GM wins the first game and is confident. Then loses the next 22 in a row (something like that). He's telling the story and said he was surprised, because he didn't think anyone in the world could beat a GM that many times in a row.
Telestu wrote:
queenmary1 wrote:
Thanks for looking that up. Isn't it kind of weird that two GM's can be so far apart? Normally two people with the same title will be relatively close in strength - Expert: 2000-2200, NM 2200-2400, FM roughly 2400 uscf-2500 uscf, IM roughly 2500 uscf-2600 uscf. But then 2600+ is just GM. I feel like there should be some additional title. "Senior GM" or something.
Someone will remember this better than me... but there's a story about some guy getting the GM title and in one of his next tournaments he's talking to Korchnoi and excitedly says something like "now that I have my GM title we're peers!" and Korchnoi looks around the room, finds some low rated GMs, and points to them saying something like "those players are your peers, not me."
It was Edward Gufeld, when he first became a GM he told Korchnoi "now we are colleagues", and Korchnoi looked around, and said "no, you are a colleague of Damjanovic"
He's a GM, so why not?