Will anyone reach 3000 over rating?

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Avatar of shadowsaybye

Is it possible reach this rating?

Avatar of AngeloPardi

Not now, but in a few years it may be possible. 

Avatar of Ubik42
shadowsaybye wrote:

Is it possible reach this rating?

It is impossible. If he even gets close, someone will beat him, royally.

Avatar of NomadicKnight

Anything's possible... If not in the near future then in the distant, but it will happen. I'm sure at some point in the history of chess the idea of a 2000 player wasn't yet a reality... but it did indeed come to pass.

Avatar of AngeloPardi
NomadicKnight wrote:

Anything's possible... If not in the near future then in the distant, but it will happen. I'm sure at some point in the history of chess the idea of a 2000 player wasn't yet a reality... but it did indeed come to pass.

In fact when the ELO system was designed, the WC was around 2700. Arpad Elo, the inventor, created it this way. 
The rating was rather stable during the 60's 70's and 80's , and only began to inflate in the 90's.

Avatar of Soob

I think so. We're very close to 3000 - I'm not talking it's gonna happen soon, but maybe in 10-20 years. Who knows.

Btw. Could someone explain me how the points are counted?

Avatar of DrSpudnik

The maximum number of Best Picture contenders is 10. In our scenario, the initial threshold for a nomination is set at 138 votes (1,508 divided by 11 and rounded up). If each of 10 films reached this cut-off, they would account for 1,380 ballots, leaving only 128 to be counted, thereby making it impossible for an eleventh film to get the necessary first place votes. 

There are three ways to get to our magic number of 76:

- be listed first on a ballot;
- be listed second on a ballot with a film in first place so popular it triggers the surplus rule; or
- be listed on a ballot with a film in first place that is tops with less than 1% of voters. 

The surplus rule is applied to all films that are listed first on at least 10% more ballots than the initial threshold required for a nomination. In our scenario -- where this initial threhold is 138 votes -- this would apply to those films which receive at least 152 first place votes. Each of these ballots is apportioned as follows: a share goes to the first place film such that it reaches the initial nomination threshold and the remaining share goes to the second place film (assuming it got at least one first place vote to stay eligible).

Avatar of Janaka-ifs

IDK

Avatar of tygxc

#6
"Could someone explain me how the points are counted?"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system