More evenly distributions are more common. For a reasonable number of rolls, sufficiently uneven distributions are very uncommon.
For example, the chance that you roll zero 6s from rolling N dice is (5/6)**N. When N is reasonably big, this gets very small. For example, it's about 1 in 80 million for 100 rolls.
The same is true for any bias (eg "less than 10% 6s" becomes very uncommon eventually).
Nice rebuttal.
However, I’ll elude to your explanation of how Life started- by random chance. Despite the odds being much higher
Nobody knows how to express the question sufficiently accurately to calculate anything but a very, very crude estimate using a model which may be entirely misleading. That's a hard fact.
Nobody has a detailed knowledge of the entire range of microenvironments available in the first half billion years of planet Earth. That's a hard fact. It is necessary there was one such microenvironment (or a sequence of such) where life arose. To be more precise, it does not need to be confined to Earth, due to the the known possibility of panspermia.
Bottom line of the state of knowledge on the odds of life arising on a planet just like the early Earth is it could be virtually anything. That includes 99.99% and 1**-100. Both are consistent with all the facts, including life arising on Earth.
(random assembly of matter/DNA/RNA than given for the dice example - insistence is made such things are entirely possible because it happened.
Appears as the same argument is used in validating both competing sides.
That something is so uncommon as not to be feasible- but when another thing is believed to be true- the uncommon becomes meaningless. It’s as if you pick and choose descriptions of how the universe operates, using numbers/probabilities randomly !
More evenly distributions are more common. For a reasonable number of rolls, sufficiently uneven distributions are very uncommon.
For example, the chance that you roll zero 6s from rolling N dice is (5/6)**N. When N is reasonably big, this gets very small. For example, it's about 1 in 80 million for 100 rolls.
The same is true for any bias (eg "less than 10% 6s" becomes very uncommon eventually).
Nice rebuttal.
However, I’ll elude to your explanation of how Life started- by random chance. Despite the odds being much higher (random assembly of matter/DNA/RNA than given for the dice example - insistence is made such things are entirely possible because it happened.
Appears as the same argument is used in validating both competing sides.
That something is so uncommon as not to be feasible- but when another thing is believed to be true- the uncommon becomes meaningless. It’s as if you pick and choose descriptions of how the universe operates, using numbers/probabilities randomly !