Global warming - an urgent problem requiring radical solution (no politics or religion)

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Avatar of Thee_Ghostess_Lola

i embraced my stupidity a long time ago. its self-honest. and will exonerate humor & help bloom what acacias u felt hadnt made it thru the winter.

Avatar of Thee_Ghostess_Lola

i know ur not gonna tell me...but id luv2know whats actually in ur briefcase...hmmm.

Avatar of playerafar
OneThousandEightHundred18 wrote:

It's just a clear lack of understanding about what a statistic even is. It doesn't matter if it's local or global. You cannot individually have an experience that is statistically significant. Outliers and exceptions exist. Trends and data about larger sets of information are valid regardless.

What you're talking about there is something else again.
its called 'cherrypicking'. It has varying degrees of being deliberate. Intentional.
It can be deliberate conscious cherrypicking.
Or a failure to think.
Or various shades of grey in between.
For example - intentional internal misunderstanding.
Deliberate semantics maneuvering.
------------------------
the cemeteries have a lot of people who can't experience anything.
Refusal to recognize regional (or 'local' - an ambiguous word) versus global - 
is a way of serving notice like this:
'you can't make me interpret and recognize the words the way you want me to!'
Happens constantly all over the world.
In various kinds of venues.
Including in courtrooms.
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Avatar of AG120502
lfPatriotGames wrote:
OneThousandEightHundred18 wrote:

It's just a clear lack of understanding about what a statistic even is. It doesn't matter if it's local or global. You cannot individually have an experience that is statistically significant. Outliers and exceptions exist. Trends and data about larger sets of information are valid regardless.

Just for fun I typed into Bing the question "can global climate be experienced locally".

The top result that came back was "while climate change is a global phenomenon it is experienced locally". But who knows, maybe the internet is wrong. That happens from time to time.

I suppose someone could say climate change is experienced locally, which is why I asked Fester that question. Of course, he refused to answer because he knew he couldn't. Maybe he thinks climate cannot be experienced locally, but climate change CAN. My guess is that the climateers will insist global climate is the average long term condition of weather all over the world, and only local weather can be experienced locally. If that's the case they would have to concede that neither climate, nor climate change, can be experienced locally. And if climate change cannot be experienced locally, it cannot be experienced at all, which makes all of this hullabaloo about climate change all over nothing.

The effects of climate change can be experienced locally. Climate change is a global phenomenon leading to a rise in the average global temperature and resulting in ‘polarisation’. Cold places could get colder and hot places could get warmer. The reverse could also happen. To make an analogy, a particular football team got 2 goals in their first game and 4 goals in their second one. Because of the new coach’s erratic judgement, in the next season they got no goals in their first game and five goals in their second game.

This results in a change in the climate of regions, which then interact to create changes in a smaller area, like a town’s climate. You haven’t responded to Elroch’s post, by the way.

Avatar of playerafar
Thee_Ghostess_Lola wrote:

teal is 75%, blue, 25% yellow. Any color over 50% blue can be referred to as a shade of blue

interesting u say such dum-dum things. teals SOOO much more than exactly 75-25. and shade ? ...is when u add black to it. which u havent. tell me s/t. which bzzzt taught u abt color ?? ...and why didju bleeve them ??

warrants much higher precision

which u so desperately need.

Hi L
A lot of fun discussions could be had about colours.
'adding black to something'
I like that one!
Teal is a nice colour.
I have my desktop background set to a mixture of blue and green.
With no red in it.
And with more blue than green. For decades.
Its called ultramarine. Can be dark or light or in between.
-------------------
In some colour controls you can set the amount of red green blue.
With the number 255 involved.
Supposedly any colour can then be created simply by doing so.
(painters supposedly used yellow instead of green as 'primary'?)
RGB are the primary colours. Links to how the human retina works.
But when the colours are mixed - do they use particular wavelengths of each colour as 'the primary colour'? My guess is yes. Maybe according to 'maximum receptitivity'. 
But its just a guess. Or rather - two guesses.
-----------
To make a pun about that last one
I never looked into that one.

Avatar of lfPatriotGames
AG120502 wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
OneThousandEightHundred18 wrote:

It's just a clear lack of understanding about what a statistic even is. It doesn't matter if it's local or global. You cannot individually have an experience that is statistically significant. Outliers and exceptions exist. Trends and data about larger sets of information are valid regardless.

Just for fun I typed into Bing the question "can global climate be experienced locally".

The top result that came back was "while climate change is a global phenomenon it is experienced locally". But who knows, maybe the internet is wrong. That happens from time to time.

I suppose someone could say climate change is experienced locally, which is why I asked Fester that question. Of course, he refused to answer because he knew he couldn't. Maybe he thinks climate cannot be experienced locally, but climate change CAN. My guess is that the climateers will insist global climate is the average long term condition of weather all over the world, and only local weather can be experienced locally. If that's the case they would have to concede that neither climate, nor climate change, can be experienced locally. And if climate change cannot be experienced locally, it cannot be experienced at all, which makes all of this hullabaloo about climate change all over nothing.

The effects of climate change can be experienced locally. Climate change is a global phenomenon leading to a rise in the average global temperature and resulting in ‘polarisation’. Cold places could get colder and hot places could get warmer. The reverse could also happen. To make an analogy, a particular football team got 2 goals in their first game and 4 goals in their second one. Because of the new coach’s erratic judgement, in the next season they got no goals in their first game and five goals in their second game.

This results in a change in the climate of regions, which then interact to create changes in a smaller area, like a town’s climate. You haven’t responded to Elroch’s post, by the way.

That's what I thought too originally. But my source says otherwise. My source says that no, you "cannot" experience it locally.

I did respond to Elrochs post. But he brought up statistics, which is a different topic for a different day. I was just focusing on Festers comment about global climate. Now he thinks asking if global climate and global climate change can be experienced locally is "stupid". I thought that was what this entire topic was about, climate change.

Because everywhere in the world is local. To someone. So if it can't be experienced locally, it can't be experienced at all. And if it can't be experienced at all, that's probably even more reason to not worry about it.

Avatar of AG120502

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Avatar of lfPatriotGames
AG120502 wrote:

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Climate change cannot be experienced locally? I thought experience IS the effects of something. Are you saying the effects of climate change are different than the experience of climate change?

At any rate, that's outstanding news. Everyday you hear news stories about the local experiences of climate change. I guess that's what they call fake news.

Avatar of AG120502
lfPatriotGames wrote:
AG120502 wrote:

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Climate change cannot be experienced locally? I thought experience IS the effects of something. Are you saying the effects of climate change are different than the experience of climate change?

At any rate, that's outstanding news. Everyday you hear news stories about the local experiences of climate change. I guess that's what they call fake news.

Say a war starts in the world. The people near the border will be experiencing the war. Say the country being invaded which is weak militarily, provides 90% of a particular mineral which is very important for humans. Prices will hike, companies will not be able to make profits, and as a result, mass layoffs commence. In a town where the companies using this mineral employ most of its working population, when the mass layoffs occur, people will become jobless, with impoverishment likely coming next. That would be the war’s effects at work.

Avatar of blueninja4747
We need to turn garbage into energy
Avatar of DiogenesDue
Thee_Ghostess_Lola wrote:

i know ur not gonna tell me...but id luv2know whats actually in ur briefcase...hmmm."It's a trap!"

Well, what a surprise...Lola's turned her attentions to an older man. We all know what "luv2know what's in your briefcase" means, after all.

Avatar of DiogenesDue
Thee_Ghostess_Lola wrote:

teal is 75%, blue, 25% yellow. Any color over 50% blue can be referred to as a shade of blue

interesting u say such dum-dum things. teals SOOO much more than exactly 75-25. and shade ? ...is when u add black to it. which u havent. tell me s/t. which bzzzt taught u abt color ?? ...and why didju bleeve them ??

warrants much higher precision

which u so desperately need.

I'm far, far more precise than you are, even on my most poetic of days.

Avatar of lfPatriotGames
AG120502 wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
AG120502 wrote:

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Climate change cannot be experienced locally? I thought experience IS the effects of something. Are you saying the effects of climate change are different than the experience of climate change?

At any rate, that's outstanding news. Everyday you hear news stories about the local experiences of climate change. I guess that's what they call fake news.

Say a war starts in the world. The people near the border will be experiencing the war. Say the country being invaded which is weak militarily, provides 90% of a particular mineral which is very important for humans. Prices will hike, companies will not be able to make profits, and as a result, mass layoffs commence. In a town where the companies using this mineral employ most of its working population, when the mass layoffs occur, people will become jobless, with impoverishment likely coming next. That would be the war’s effects at work.

That seems like a pretty good example. So the locals, the people nearby would be experiencing it, while those much further away would feel the effects. If I understand you, it would be experienced locally, but the effects would be broader.

Avatar of AG120502
lfPatriotGames wrote:
AG120502 wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
AG120502 wrote:

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Climate change cannot be experienced locally? I thought experience IS the effects of something. Are you saying the effects of climate change are different than the experience of climate change?

At any rate, that's outstanding news. Everyday you hear news stories about the local experiences of climate change. I guess that's what they call fake news.

Say a war starts in the world. The people near the border will be experiencing the war. Say the country being invaded which is weak militarily, provides 90% of a particular mineral which is very important for humans. Prices will hike, companies will not be able to make profits, and as a result, mass layoffs commence. In a town where the companies using this mineral employ most of its working population, when the mass layoffs occur, people will become jobless, with impoverishment likely coming next. That would be the war’s effects at work.

That seems like a pretty good example. So the locals, the people nearby would be experiencing it, while those much further away would feel the effects. If I understand you, it would be experienced locally, but the effects would be broader.

That’s pretty much it. And thank you for the compliment.

Avatar of Elroch
lfPatriotGames wrote:
AG120502 wrote:

Climate change cannot be experienced locally. Its effects can. Who’s your source?

Climate change cannot be experienced locally? I thought experience IS the effects of something.

It seems difficult for anyone to make this simple enough for you, But how about this,

You cannot experience the global mean surface temperature. All you can experience is the local temperature.

Now, you might say this means the global mean surface temperature does not matter. This would be foolish. The global mean surface temperature is the average of all local mean surface temperatures. If the global mean surface temperature goes it, it means a lot of local mean surface temperatures have gone up. I feel you can comprehend that this matters locally. You acknowledge that local mean surface temperature rise is of significance.

Simple enough?

Avatar of mpaetz
lfPatriotGames wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

But those are local climates, not global ones. Nobody is suggesting that the local climate in Antarctica can be experienced in the locality of Multnomah County. The claim was that GLOBAL climate (not local climate) cannot be experienced locally.

So if global climate cannot be experienced locally, there is nothing to worry about.

Incorrect. You mistake a statement of the obvious fact that no one can experience the climate all over the world from one small location to mean that change in global climate cannot affect that small location. Less precipitation in the Rocky Mountains in British Columbia and in the Cascade Range could dramatically lower the flow of water in your area and affect your ability to irrigate your land.

Well I'm confused. The examples you gave, in my opinion, were local climates. But you say "incorrect". Are the examples you gave global climates???

Yes, climate varies from place to place. As the overall climate of planet Earth changes (as you repeatedly point out it does) then local climates will be affected, in different ways. Whether or not you can see the change in global climate from your front porch doesn't mean it will not affect you, so yes, global climate change is something to worry about.

If you mean something else by "global climate" please explain.

OK. So your answer to my question is "yes". The examples you gave are in fact global climates. The local rainfall, the local heat, those are global climates.

So if the examples you gave are indeed global climates how in the world does the claim that global climates cannot be experienced locally make any sense? I mean AT ALL?

You gave examples of local climates, local situations, local weather. And you are saying "yes" those are examples of global climate. And yet, somehow, that local (global} climate cannot be experienced locally???

If local climate cannot be experienced locally, which climate exactly CAN by experienced locally?

I notice you dodged the question about what YOU mean by "global climate". How can anyone answer the questions you pose if you do not elucidate what it is that you are talking about?

If we follow your logic, it seems that there is no such thing as global climate change (although you have repeatedly pointed out that such change has happened naturally many times). Under your theory people in the area we now call Quebec 50,000 years ago wouldn't have to worry that the global temperature was declining, as they couldn't experience global climate change. Imagine their surprise when their homeland was under immense sheets of ice.

But you say that was only local climate change, so the people in North Africa shouldn't have had to worry that trapping so much of the planet's water in ice sheets would dry out their homeland, killing the plant life they (and the animals they hunted) lived on. And not to worry when the global warming came along and changed the plains where they lived into the Sahara Desert. And people in low-lying coastal areas wouldn't be affected when the melting glaciers in some other locality raised sea levels a few hundred feet.

Global climate is the sum and average of all local climates. Global climate change WILL result in changing conditions everywhere. In some place the change will be negligible, in other places it will be severe.

Incidentally, measuring and comparing all these variations and changes as we have been doing IS statistics.

Avatar of playerafar

In addition to news and information about what's been happening ...
there's also news predictions about what's going to happen.
Including in the short term.
Record temperatures expected in the US southeast on Monday and Tuesday.
In other words in about five days from now.
In other words - at the summer solstice.
-----------------
other predictions (these are mine and they're 'conditional')
If the disastrous new record temps happen then we may get from those disagreeing
'it was going to happen anyway'
or - if the records don't happen then ...
'See?? fear-mongering again' ....
Yes we'll be waiting and seeing but its getting close.
And there's another prediction (by me)
We'll see from many or most of those disagreeing 'you've got to keep waiting and seeing and nothing should be done about it'
or - 'what are You doing about it??'
They sure don't want governments doing something about it. Not ever.
As it gets worse - maybe we'll get 'We'll adapt. You won't. We're ready.'

Avatar of playerafar

Its developing in the news.
Not just for the southeastern US.
Major heat dome. Likely to impact many areas of the US.
ABC NBC CBS Reuters and AP all have articles.
Record-breaking heat expected starting on the weekend.
Why isn't this all over the news yet?
I don't know.
Five day forecasts and for further ahead not as sure perhaps?

Avatar of Festers-bester

Yes record breaking.

Eastern NC average for June and July are 85 and 89 respectively with rare 90s in June. This forecast is for the next week and while each day does not break a record, the number of days of continuous 90s does.

Also the following week will remain in the low 90s.

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dirt