I know everybody likes to ask how tie breakers are calculated, but I know the answer to that (for the benefit of anyone finding the thread 3 years from now while searching tie breakers: it is the sum of the scores of everyone you beat and 1/2 the ones you tied). My question is one of time and probability.
Has anyone ever tried to create a formula to estimate how many days until a new round of a tournament begins, given the data of remaining games, days per turn, and such?
There are 2 tournaments I'm advancing in, one with 13 games remaining and 1 day/move, and the other with 29 games remaining and 3 days/move. Every day I live in fear that I'll wake up to 20 active games. =)
I don't expect a percise answer but am curious if anyone had any rules of thumb for this.
