Candidates Predictions Update Rd 1
I'm going to try to keep a log of how well my predictions do from December. In round 1 I predicted there would be some bloodshed with 3 decisive results out of 4. I scored 50% in round 1, correctly predicting Anand winning and the draw between Giri and Aronian. Nakamura was pressing for a win around move 20, but Karjakin didn't appear to get anything out of the opening.
| Round 1 | |||
| White | Black | Result | Prediction |
| Karjakin | Svidler | Draw | Karjakin Wins |
| Nakamura | Caruana | Draw | Nakamura Wins |
| Giri | Aronian | Draw | Draw |
| Anand | Topalov | Anand Wins | Anand Wins |
Comparison of the actual and projected standings:
| Standings Through Round 1 | |||
| Actual | Predicted | ||
| 1 | Anand | 1 | Anand |
| 0.5 | Karjakin | 1 | Karjakin |
| 0.5 | Nakamura | 1 | Nakamura |
| 0.5 | Aronian | 0.5 | Aronian |
| 0.5 | Giri | 0.5 | Giri |
| 0.5 | Caruana | 0 | Caruana |
| 0.5 | Svidler | 0 | Svidler |
| 0 | Topalov | 0 | Topalov |
I predicted round 2 will see draws in Aronian-Anand, Caruana-Giri, and Karjakin-Nakamura. Svidler is projected to beat Topalov knowking him down to -2!
| Round 2 | |||
| White | Black | Result | Prediction |
| Svidler | Topalov | Svidler Wins | |
| Aronian | Anand | Draw | |
| Caruana | Giri | Draw | |
| Karjakin | Nakamura | Draw | |
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