Carlsen vs. Caruana Stats: Games 1 and 2

Carlsen vs. Caruana Stats: Games 1 and 2

NM SmarterChess
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29 days ago

In this series I will be using the chess.com analysis tool to compute the players' CAPS, Avg. Diff., Best Move %, Mistake-Score, and Largest Advantage in each game.  In addition to those metrics, a rerun of the Monte Carlo simulations of the ...

PRO Chess League Metrics

PRO Chess League Metrics

NM SmarterChess
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Jan 31, 2018

Last Tuesday's PRO Chess League 2018 debut showcased some of the most exciting online chess that fans have ever witnessed.  The live chess coverage ran for over 12 hours, with live commentators and thousands of fans watching.  32 teams o...

January 2022 Rating List

January 2022 Rating List

NM SmarterChess
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Jan 24, 2017

It's 2017 and Magnus Carlsen is still the world champion after defeating Karjakin in Rapid tiebreaks.  In this post we will project the World Top 10 List in January 2022. Projection Methodology Find the World Rank and Age of a...

Chess Rating Comparison 2016

Chess Rating Comparison 2016

NM SmarterChess
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Sep 2, 2016

Working on a new project called chess goals. https://chessgoals.com/ https://chess.com/club/chess-goals/ A new rating comparison will be posted to the chess goals site. Update 12/2/2016:  Results are posted! Google Sheets Result...

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 4

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 4

NM SmarterChess
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Mar 15, 2016

I have been tracking my Candidates predictions from December.  In round 4 I correctly predicted 3 of the 4 games.     SummaryCorrect Predictions:  10/16, 62.5%# of Actual Draws to Date: 12# of Draws Predicted to Date: 12  Round 4 Predictions:...

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 3

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 3

NM SmarterChess
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Mar 13, 2016

I'm going to try to keep a log of how well my predictions do from December.  Round 3 I predicted 3 out of 4 games correctly, and the overall standings are becoming closer to my standings prediction.  I'll keep this blog post short w...

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 2

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 2

NM SmarterChess
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Mar 12, 2016

I'm going to try to keep a log of how well my predictions do from December.  Round 2 I predicted half of the games once again, but the overall standings are becoming closer to my standings prediction.  I was way off in Hikaru through 2 rounds, pre...

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 1

Candidates Predictions Update Rd 1

NM SmarterChess
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Mar 11, 2016

I'm going to try to keep a log of how well my predictions do from December. In round 1 I predicted there would be some bloodshed with 3 decisive results out of 4.  I scored 50% in round 1, correctly predicting Anand winning and the draw betwe...

Early Candidates 2016 Predictions

Early Candidates 2016 Predictions

NM SmarterChess
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Dec 24, 2015

The next Candidates tournament will take place in March 2016 to determine who will challenge Magnus Carlsen in the World Championship.  The field is set unless any of the participants decline their invitation to play. Qualificati...

Stockfish 6 takes the Chess Personality Test

Stockfish 6 takes the Chess Personality Test

NM SmarterChess
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Nov 28, 2015

I recommend you first take the test on your own to discover your own chess personality.  A few chess celebrities have already taken the test. Hikaru Nakamura  Danny Rensch  John Bartholomew Take the test for yourself! The test...

Chess.com Rating Comparison 2015

Chess.com Rating Comparison 2015

NM SmarterChess
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Nov 11, 2015

Working on a new project called chess goals. https://chessgoals.com/ https://chess.com/club/chess-goals/ A new rating comparison will be posted to the chess goals site. 2016 Version UPDATED WITH OVER 370 ENTRIES! Many players...

MN Blizzard Round 1

MN Blizzard Round 1

NM SmarterChess
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Aug 24, 2015

The MN Blizzard have their first match in the US Chess League! Date: Tuesday, August 25th, 2015 Time: 8:00 PM Location: Chess Castle.  1121 Jackson Street NE, Suite #134, Minneapolis, MN 55413     vs All Time Series Record: (This is their f...

MN Blizzard joins USCL

MN Blizzard joins USCL

NM SmarterChess
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Jul 10, 2015

The Minnesota Blizzard had their kick-off meeting tonight and are ready for the 2015 season.  The Blizzard have two Grandmasters, three International Masters, a FIDE Master, and multiple National Masters.  The United States Chess League will have ...

Norway Chess Predictions After 4 Rounds

Norway Chess Predictions After 4 Rounds

NM SmarterChess
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Jun 21, 2015

Magnus Carlsen is in last place with only one draw in four games.  Can he come back to make the podium or even win the event?!  To find out I created some framework to pull out a expected score (ES) for each match. ES Criteria History between th...

Rochester Winter Open Recap

Rochester Winter Open Recap

NM SmarterChess
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Apr 28, 2015

The 2015 Rochester Winter (2nd day of Spring) Open was held on March 21st this year, approximately 6 weeks after our usual date.  Many of the players came from outside of Rochester and appreciated the warmer weather.  The tournament is split into ...

How to be a Polite Spectator

How to be a Polite Spectator

NM SmarterChess
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Mar 18, 2014

A friend and I were recently discussing chess spectator etiquette and how they differ from the arena of Magic The Gathering tournaments.  In Magic tournaments it is considered rude to spectate for a brief period and then leave the table.  Leaving ...

Comp4-ImpossiblyLucky!

Comp4-ImpossiblyLucky!

NM SmarterChess
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Feb 10, 2014

I know there's no luck in chess and my play was responsible for this loss.  I'd still like to petition a name change to Comp4-ImpossiblyLucky because I was crushing it!  Please take a look at the game and suggest some alternative lines or missed w...

Humbled by IM Rendle

Humbled by IM Rendle

NM SmarterChess
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Feb 3, 2014

Dropped a piece on more 4, missed a simple mate in 1, lost the game, but had fun.  Enjoy and don't laugh!   Website - Coaching information Twitter - Chess-related tweets

Bishop + Rook Pawn Ending

Bishop + Rook Pawn Ending

NM SmarterChess
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Jan 26, 2014

Bishop and rook-pawn endgames can be difficult to win when your bishop is on the opposite color of the pawn's promotion square.  The position below is a theoretical draw.  If you haven't seen it before try finding a way for White to win ...

Exchange Sacrifice in the Caro

Exchange Sacrifice in the Caro

NM SmarterChess
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Jan 23, 2014

This is a game from the local chess club, and possibly the most exciting of the round!  The time control was G/60 + 30inc and the pairings are made in advance.  The game was a back-n-forth struggle with an exchange sacrifice towards the end.  I th...

Candidates Tournament 2014 Odds

Candidates Tournament 2014 Odds

NM SmarterChess
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Jan 7, 2014

Odds of winning the Candidates Tournament 2014.  Who do you think will win?  Who would you bet on with these odds? Aronian (3.25) Kramnik (4) Topalov (6) Anand (7.5) Karjakin (9) Mamedyarov (10) Andreikin (15) Svidler (15)

Best zugzwang ever!

Best zugzwang ever!

NM SmarterChess
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Oct 26, 2013

This is a game played by a quickly improving Maor Locker on chess.com.  Maor reached a position with many paths to win, but when we analyzed the position below we realized White is actually in zugzwang!  After going through a few variations with a...

Game Analysis #2 - Symmetrical English

Game Analysis #2 - Symmetrical English

NM SmarterChess
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Oct 15, 2013

Here is the 2nd analyzed game of the free game analysis series played by Warrior2000.  Gourav plays a nice game on the Black side of a symmetrical english.  The game gets very dicey and White sacrifices an exchange in an attempt to checkmate the B...

Game Analysis #1 - Caro Attacks!

Game Analysis #1 - Caro Attacks!

NM SmarterChess
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Oct 13, 2013

In the first installment of the free game analysis series we look at Marcelo's game on the Black side of a caro-kann.  He neutralizes White's slight advantage out of the opening and castles queenside (!!) in an attempt to pawn storm his opponent's...

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