That's pretty cool. Thanks for sharing.
Elo win probability calculator
Sort:
JayThe8th wrote:
what?
This is your chance of winning. If you’re 100 points over someone you have a 57% chance of winning that game. That’s why you can’t feel too bad if you lose to someone 300 points lower because you only have a 80% win chance you’ll lose those occasionally. The interesting thing to me is that it stays pretty constant like if you’re 2400 playing a 2200 or whatever the draw chance just increases at higher levels
If I play Magnus at 1200 I have a 0.00000001% chance of winning that game. It could totally happen. I believe that’s one hundred millionth of a percent? He better not play me a hundred million games or he’s goin down.
Can a 800 beat a 1100 without any problem
zeldor_08 wrote:
Can a 800 beat a 1100 without any problem
It’s about 82% lose. 11% win. 6% draw. Should be a lot of problem. That’s why that calculators cool tho u can plug it in. So if they play 100 games the 1100 will probably win about 80 of them
Sep 29, 2023
0
#8
FavelaSwag wrote:
zeldor_08 wrote:
Can a 800 beat a 1100 without any problem
It’s about 82% lose. 11% win. 6% draw. Should be a lot of problem. That’s why that calculators cool tho u can plug it in. So if they play 100 games the 1100 will probably win about 80 of them
Hehehe
Sep 30, 2023
0
#10
JayThe8th wrote:
draw chance is high
Yes, most high level games end in draws
I've been using this for decades for my tennis club.
It can evaluate Elo rating for ping-pong scoring to 21 (or any scoring).
https://3dkingdoms.com/chess/elo.htm
Quick and dirty math.
If someone wins in a row, I subtract one gain point with each win. There are too many tennis players and too many games to calculate exactly.
1st win: gain 16 points
2nd win: gain 15 points
3rd win: gain 14 points
etc.
long_quach wrote:
Quick and dirty math.
This is a lost art in the age of computers.
Before computers, that is what a slide rule is created for. To do quick and dirty math. (Good enough approximations).
Oct 2, 2023
0
#14
long_quach wrote:
long_quach wrote:
Quick and dirty math.
This is a lost art in the age of computers.
Before computers, that is what a slide rule is created for. To do quick and dirty math. (Good enough approximations).
Slide rules had a marking for PI!
I love looking at this. 100 points is a lot but that only gives you a 57% chance of winning. 200 points is like 70%. 300 points is over 80%. 400 points is like 90%. 500 points is 95%. 600 points is 97.5%.