Sicilian or e5?

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zborg

The Great Beyondo (J. Carson) has fortold that chess (when solved) will be a draw.

Thankfully, we shouldn't expect that to occur within our lifetimes.

That way we can argue about it endlessly in the forums.  Onward.  But it's best to not argue with idiots, or disinterested parties can't tell you apart.  Smile

atarw
The_Gavinator wrote:
uhohspaghettio wrote:
The_Gavinator wrote:

 

Pretty large chances for drawing...

Rubbish. For one, that sort of drawing percentage is low for GM games. 

For two, you're just selectively taking a line that tends to be more drawish than most in the Najdorf. 

No, I actually selected the most popular moves, I didn't do anything to it. And those aren't GM games, I can post a picture from the Master's Database if you'd like to see.

Chess is a draw, why are you arguing? Najdorf is one of the sharpest lines in the Sicilian.

atarw
The_Gavinator wrote:

I like the Classical, it feels the most natural. The Najdorf is essentially a draw, it's like the Ruy Lopez of the Sicilian. The Dragon is stupid, people think it's good but it's really not, kinda like the Catalan. The Scheveningen is tough to break through, but you don't have many good attacking chances yourself. Those are the 4 main variations I think.

Najdorf is sharp and unbalanced, Dragon is good, but it is sharp, and dangerous for both players, its a race to mate opening, Scheveningen is solid, but transpositions to Najdorf can make it lively, but I would recommend to go to a Najdorf, and then Scheveningen to avoid Keres Attack. I don't know much about classical. And Gavinator missed the Taimanov, Pelikan, Kalakashinov, Kan. 

Pelikan and Kalakashinov are closely related, and dynamic sharp openings. Kan is more flexible, but I don't know a lot about it. Same goes for Taimanov

ponz111

Much of chess literature states it is overwhelmingly believed by the top players chess is a draw. My personal experience with very good players leads me to believe that at least 99% of top players think chess is a draw. There are exceptions such as Weaver Adams who was not such a good player and Hans Berliner who was a very good player-but the exceptions are just that.

As far as me trying to prove chess is a draw regardless of specific results of humans--I already addressed that point.

You say you have no idea if chess is a draw. But the vast majority of very good players believe chess is a draw. Again, I repeat-you make a poor argument when you misquote and you make a poor argument when you make statements which are not true about how another person comes to judgments about the question: Is chess a draw?' 

clivebeesley

For the attention of JOEYDVIDRE............   You seem to be suffering from a bad dose of verball diarrhoea   You accused someone as being a PENDANT ( a piece of hanging jewellery) when you should have said,PEDANT!!! Also the opposite of Ambiguous is DISAMBIGUOUS. I could go on but fear you will take offence.Best wishes, Clive , 

cradon5953
joeydvivre wrote:

ponz - I'm sorry but this is probably useless....  Keep telling me that 99% of grandmasters believe that chess is a draw.  Did you understand what I meant when I said that 99.99% (probably more) of mathematicians believe that the Riemann hypothesis is true? There has been enormous effort spent trying to disporve the Riemann hypothesis which could amount to finding a 0 of the zeta function.  People have hooked up huge amounts of computer power and graduate students to the problem and every time someone searches it just comes back looking more and more like the Riemann hypothesis is true.  The search for counterexamples to the Riemann hypothesis has consumed many orders of magnitude more  effort than whether chess is a draw.  So far..looks good.  Almost everyone believes that the Riemann hypothesis is true.  Doesn't mean squat because THAT IS NOT THE WAY THESE PROBLEMS ARE RESOLVED.  Proving the Riemann hypothesis is IMHO the most glorious remaining problem in mathematics despite the near consensus that it is true.  If you think that they are resolved that way, it's frankly because you are not well-educated.  We do not poll people for scientific truth.  Doesn't matter if they are grandmasters or grandmasters of math or regluar joes slogging away at the problem.

Now if you want to try something interesting without repeating to me over and over again that lots of grandmasters believe some scientific result so it must be true, I would enjoy discussing the topic.  

If you want to repeat that over again, I will just bow out certain that nobody has taught you the most rudimentary science.


Yeah, ummm i created this forum to learn about sicilian variations...not the Riemann Hypothesis

ponz111

and I never said someone could prove chess is a draw--in fact I said that chess is too complicated for that. [ you seem to ignore selective things I say] Even more complicated [probably] than the Riemann Hypothesis [in terms of proving].

So go ahead and bow out because you misquote me again.

kjhdf

...you can't realy say the Catalan isn't any good "like the Sicilian Dragon". 

Check Avrukh's GM repertoire for 1. d4....its pretty deep on the Catalan and for good reason. And yes the Scheveningen is tough to crack, and doesn't present many attacking opportunities for black, but it offers up tons of counterplay against white, depending on white's attack. There's a reason it was one of Kasparov's favorite Sicilians. 

ponz111

The Sicilian Varations I like for White are 1. e4  c5  2. Nf3  followed

often by 3. Bb5 or BB5+. White, in some of these variations gets rid of his  very slighly bad Bishop.

ponz111

Saying something is "quite clear" does not mean that you can prove it.

It is as simple as that. I am sorry you cannot get this through your head.

[I would have thought you would have figured this out as  you, yourself gave a math theorm which many people believe to be true but noone has proved it!]

And again you misquote me to indicate that the ONLY reason I think chess is a draw is

because I think 99% of grandmasters thik it is a draw. You delibertly left out all the other reasons I gave why I think chess is a draw--the is disingenuous on your part.

You are trying to delibertly misquote me in order to make my logic look stupid but what is really stupid is to continue to misquote me.

 

Also,I never said grandmasters cannot be wrong this is another one of your attemps to misquote me.

You are wrong and your only defense is to continually misquote or to try and distort my position. I have had enough of you.

TonyH

There should be some clarity here in what people mean by drawn. There is are things such as practically drawn and theoetically drawn in human player over the board. I consider CC and computer chess more of a theoretical discussion. From my understanding of CC chess most things are very VERY concrete while in OTB chess things can be played because there is some practical wiggle room where players can not be realistically expected to play perfect moves. 

zborg
joeydvivre wrote:

"There should be some clarity here in what people mean by drawn."

It's really unambiguous.  A draw is a position in which neither side can checkmate the other if both sides play perfectly.  One conceptual way of thinking about it is through tablebases (read Wiki on tablebases).  A tablebase completely resolves the question about whether a position is drawn or won and in how many moves it takes.  The "retrograde analysis" that does this is pretty elegant.  We currently have tablebases for 7 pieces (I think that is all) but in theory we could generate tablebases for all 32 pieces though this would require an unbelievably large database (still finite though).  

The question of whether chess is drawn could simply be reframed as "In this monster tablebase, does the starting position of the game appear as a draw or as a win?".  

Alas, it is impossible to generate this tablebase and almost surely will be for the lifetimes of everyone now alive.

+10, and even with a 32 piece tablebase, there is very little reason to believe the advantage of the first move can (somehow) force a win.  That's probably the core intuition associated with @Ponz111's references (above) to "what GM's think" about chess being a draw.

But we shouldn't conflate "logical proof" with either physics or chess.

Witness the recent boondoggle at Cern.  To wit, neutrinos have no mass, and they move at (exactly) the speed of light.  No surprises there.  But that specific experiment cannot "prove" Einstein's speed of light constant, only disprove it.

So this (physical) chess problem should be reformulated.  Can white (with the advantage of the first move) force a win?  Indeed, that's a much harder hill to climb than "proving a draw," however construed.

And the presumptive answer should be NO, until shown otherwise.  Just like the neutrino example at Cern, which generated lots more heat than light.  Smile

pfren

I can remember one match of our National Team in the 1988 Olympiad.

We had an adjourned game to analyse, rather complex, where our player, objectively speaking, had no advantage. The team captain, GM Efim Geller, contibuted with a few remarkable ideas, and then rose up to go to sleep smiling, and saying with confidence that we would win.

On our objection that the position is equal, he said something like: "The position is indeed equal, but the players are not".
At least this is how it was transferred to us- Geller always spoke in Russian.

Geller (with his phenomenal positional instict, and outstanding chessic knowledge) was very right- our player won the adjourned game without much difficulty.

zborg

Unlike the Riemann Hypothesis, neither chess (nor physics) is a problem for (solely) pure mathematics, despite @Joey's continued bald assertions to the contrary.

And no obfuscating diatribe from you (of whatever length) will persuade thoughtful readers otherwise.

Why limit yourself to only a 4000 square chess board?  Great example?  Surely you can do better than that.  Laughing

On balance, you need about 1.5 evaluation (not 0.2) for a "winning advantage," assuring a practical forced win.

Your diatribe dissipates itself.  Does it not?

So take a chill pill.  And consider taking your Avatar to the dentist.  He needs some serious work.

pfren

Wow, still trying to "solve" chess via mathematic formulas? How romantic... Tongue Out

pfren

A +0.10 engine evaluation is enough to FORCE a win in certain setups... and in some other ones, some +3.something may well be a draw.

Don't forget that engines evaluate mostly material balances, and they are totally dumb when they have to evaluate positions with long-term offensive and defensive plans.

browni3141

The fact that percentage of draws increases as level of play increases is enough for me to be nearly certain that chess is a draw.

browni3141
joeydvivre wrote:
browni3141 wrote:

The fact that percentage of draws increases as level of play increases is enough for me to be nearly certain that chess is a draw.

That's a decent piece of evidence.  There are some problems with that in that I don't think it is true if you control for event and rating.  So for example, if you look in a single tournament two 2500 players are just as likely to draw as two 2700 players because likelihood of a draw has lots to do with incentives to draw rather than whether or not chess is a draw.  

In any event, if I had to choose I would say it is more likely that chess is a draw than not.  My guess - and Kasparov's guess - aren't worth anything.    

Good point. What if engine vs. engine games are looked at? They only care about finding the "best" move, regardless of tournament conditions and other factors.

zborg
browni3141 wrote:

The fact that percentage of draws increases as level of play increases is enough for me to be nearly certain that chess is a draw.

Another breath of sanity in this thread.  Thank you.

zborg
pfren wrote:

A +0.10 engine evaluation is enough to FORCE a win in certain setups... and in some other ones, some +3.something may well be a draw.

Don't forget that engines evaluate mostly material balances, and they are totally dumb when they have to evaluate positions with long-term offensive and defensive plans.

And when chess engines (playing at 3300+ strength) become equally strong in their "endgame technique," the above objections will fall by the wayside.