notwithstanding the knowledge gap then yeah its just statistics
True, I meant to add in the original post that as your rating climbs it is exponentially more difficult to win games (in other words, the talent is exponentially higher) which comes from intense study and practice.
I was doing the math the other day, being frustrated by my elo struggles. 2000 elo is only 250 games, if each game wins eight elo points. So in theory, you only need to gain eight elo points per day for 250 days to gain 2000 elo. If you are already at 200 elo (the lowest of the low) It would only take you 225 days. That is around seven months.
I went on a losing streak over the past few days, dropping from 1344 to 1157 on Rapid, but I am back up to around 1220. That means I can make it to 2000 in only 98 days, if I only gain eight points per day. I find that I lose most often when I become frustrated, flustered, and/or distracted. Today alone I gained 50 points, but that is through careful play, and intentionally remaining calm and calculated. If I could gain fifty points every day, it would only take me around two weeks to reach 2000. My highest ever rating is 1407. All of this is charted territory for me. I just need to remain calm.
I guess the gist of this post is to remind my fellow players to not take the game too seriously, but at the same time, be calm and calculated. Here is an analogy: An old business man once told me that even if you enjoy the work, running a small business that loses money, even if you can technically "afford it" by subsidizing the business with your personal funds, is not a fun business to run. The same applies to games, and specifically, chess. While the game is fun, it is not fun to lose more often than than you win. The game is the most fun when we can see the fruit of our labor, most often reflected by our rating going up. It takes time, effort, and willpower.