Covid-19 Discussion (moderated)

Same thing in Brazil; a right wing President that refuse to see the reality and now with 22 millions cases and 100 000 deaths and soon 5 000 deaths per day! Those numbers are from the experts because the oficial number are fake!
There's a good possibility case count in Brazil is suppressed from one or more of insufficient testing, poor organization, or deliberate coverup, but fighting unsubstantiated figures with more unsubstantiated figures doesn't help.
Unless, of course, you have a source from an observer organization supporting those numbers.

Same thing in Brazil; a right wing President that refuse to see the reality and now with 22 millions cases and 100 000 deaths and soon 5 000 deaths per day! Those numbers are from the experts because the oficial number are fake!
There's a good possibility case count in Brazil is suppressed from one or more of insufficient testing, poor organization, or deliberate coverup, but fighting unsubstantiated figures with more unsubstantiated figures doesn't help.
Unless, of course, you have a source from an observer organization supporting those numbers.
Yes I always have very good sources do not worry about me.
Even so, the true extent of the outbreak far exceeds the official figures, according to many experts, who cite a lack of widespread testing.
“That number of 1 million is much less than the real number of people who have been infected, because there is under-reporting of a magnitude of five to 10 times,” said Alexandre Naime Barbosa, a medical professor at the São Paulo State University. “The true number is probably at least 3 million and could even be as high as 10 million people.”
That is a very conservative source.
https://globalnews.ca/news/7087758/brazil-1-million-coronavirus-cases/

It seems there are promising drugs and vaccine have been produced. When will it give an impact on public healthiness.
The term needed to recovery in hospital is quite long in around three weeks. That sounds bad for cost and public queue.

Same thing in Brazil; a right wing President that refuse to see the reality and now with 22 millions cases and 100 000 deaths and soon 5 000 deaths per day! Those numbers are from the experts because the oficial number are fake!
There's a good possibility case count in Brazil is suppressed from one or more of insufficient testing, poor organization, or deliberate coverup, but fighting unsubstantiated figures with more unsubstantiated figures doesn't help.
Unless, of course, you have a source from an observer organization supporting those numbers.
Yes I always have very good sources do not worry about me.
Even so, the true extent of the outbreak far exceeds the official figures, according to many experts, who cite a lack of widespread testing.
“That number of 1 million is much less than the real number of people who have been infected, because there is under-reporting of a magnitude of five to 10 times,” said Alexandre Naime Barbosa, a medical professor at the São Paulo State University. “The true number is probably at least 3 million and could even be as high as 10 million people.”
That is a very conservative source.
https://globalnews.ca/news/7087758/brazil-1-million-coronavirus-cases/
Yes, numbers should be up in all concerned countries, no country can test all the people. However, "at least 3M and as high as 10M" sounds like a guess more than anything. I mean everybody knows numbers in Brazil are not reflecting reality due to low testing, but to come up with numbers so widely apart also reflects the fact that nobody knows the real number of COVID19 in Brazil. Taking a wild guess of between 3 and 10M, that's quite useless. That's the same thing as those wild predictions foreseeing that if nobody wears masks in X country, 5M to 15M people will be infected... the gap between the numbers is so huge that those predictions are completely useless. Better wait for hard facts than to go on throwing wild numbers, truth will come out, and then it'll be relevant to talk about numbers.

Yes, numbers should be up in all concerned countries, no country can test all the people. However, "at least 3M and as high as 10M" sounds like a guess more than anything. I mean everybody knows numbers in Brazil are not reflecting reality due to low testing, but to come up with numbers so widely apart also reflects the fact that nobody knows the real number of COVID19 in Brazil. Taking a wild guess of between 3 and 10M, that's quite useless. That's the same thing as those wild predictions foreseeing that if nobody wears masks in X country, 5M to 15M people will be infected... the gap between the numbers is so huge that those predictions are completely useless. Better wait for hard facts than to go on throwing wild numbers, truth will come out, and then it'll be relevant to talk about numbers.
Exactly. Hard facts are hard to come by (and, in the cases of coverups, we may never know), but in a situation like Brazil's, it's very hard to sort out causes and narrow it down to even a large ballpark figure.
Additionally, Marie's assertion implied that the reason for the difference was a lie or other deliberate coverup. I don't doubt that's happening (given the absolute train wreck of a leader their president is), but the article didn't touch on that and, as you said, we can't do much with it. According to models (all we have to go by), even Germany is thought to be currently under-reporting cases by nearly three times:
https://covid19.healthdata.org/germany
At the very least, you need to shave off the amount of under-reporting due to circumstances that aren't deliberate falsification. 5 to 10 times is certainly not outside the realm of possibility due to the strain on resources alone.

Same thing in Brazil; a right wing President that refuse to see the reality and now with 22 millions cases and 100 000 deaths and soon 5 000 deaths per day! Those numbers are from the experts because the oficial number are fake!
There's a good possibility case count in Brazil is suppressed from one or more of insufficient testing, poor organization, or deliberate coverup, but fighting unsubstantiated figures with more unsubstantiated figures doesn't help.
Unless, of course, you have a source from an observer organization supporting those numbers.
Yes I always have very good sources do not worry about me.
Even so, the true extent of the outbreak far exceeds the official figures, according to many experts, who cite a lack of widespread testing.
“That number of 1 million is much less than the real number of people who have been infected, because there is under-reporting of a magnitude of five to 10 times,” said Alexandre Naime Barbosa, a medical professor at the São Paulo State University. “The true number is probably at least 3 million and could even be as high as 10 million people.”
That is a very conservative source.
https://globalnews.ca/news/7087758/brazil-1-million-coronavirus-cases/
Yes, numbers should be up in all concerned countries, no country can test all the people. However, "at least 3M and as high as 10M" sounds like a guess more than anything. I mean everybody knows numbers in Brazil are not reflecting reality due to low testing, but to come up with numbers so widely apart also reflects the fact that nobody knows the real number of COVID19 in Brazil. Taking a wild guess of between 3 and 10M, that's quite useless. That's the same thing as those wild predictions foreseeing that if nobody wears masks in X country, 5M to 15M people will be infected... the gap between the numbers is so huge that those predictions are completely useless. Better wait for hard facts than to go on throwing wild numbers, truth will come out, and then it'll be relevant to talk about numbers.
You think you will have hard facts soon?
Or maybe in 2 or 3 years?
No one will care in 2 years how many they had in 2020.

Haverumwilltravel wrote:
Nothing coming out of China can be believed. China is ran by a savage regime. Any body with any logic would deduct that the cases and death toll is much higher since it originated from there.
No political things.
Excuse me

It seems there are promising drugs and vaccine have been produced. When will it give an impact on public healthiness.
The term needed to recovery in hospital is quite long in around three weeks. That sounds bad for cost and public queue.
Yes a vaccine in early 2021.

Haverumwilltravel wrote:
Nothing coming out of China can be believed. China is ran by a savage regime. Any body with any logic would deduct that the cases and death toll is much higher since it originated from there.
No political things.
Excuse me
Actually Beijing was pretty honest with the world, if a bit silent at first.
But the Wuhan government lied it's butt off.

That turned out to be fake post.
Fact check it.
She never posted that to begin with.
That's the trouble with being Conservative. Liberals are too darn honest.
Only way to discredit them, is to lie.

Haverumwilltravel wrote:
Nothing coming out of China can be believed. China is ran by a savage regime. Any body with any logic would deduct that the cases and death toll is much higher since it originated from there.
No political things.
Excuse me
Actually Beijing was pretty honest with the world, if a bit silent at first.
But the Wuhan government lied it's butt off.
They all tried to hide it until they realized that it was impossible.....

New York seems to be the worst hit US state with well over 10,000 more deaths and 100,000 more cases than any other (second being California) as a mix of lawlessness, riots and filthy conditions increase.
Place seems to have gone to ruin under a liberal mayor. 50% increase in shooting victims this year. Burglaries up 120%.
The middle classes are leaving. And we aren't talking a handful - we are talking half a million people.
"A city which is dangerous and dirty holds no appeal" said a leading expert on urban trends Joel Koltin.
An executive at a major wall street bank said: "New York is definately down, but you should never count us out".
An absolute disaster. Certain states need to get a grip, bigtime.
They were worst hit, first. yes. During the first wave.
This second wave is hitting other states harder than New York.

Haverumwilltravel wrote:
Nothing coming out of China can be believed. China is ran by a savage regime. Any body with any logic would deduct that the cases and death toll is much higher since it originated from there.
No political things.
Excuse me
Actually Beijing was pretty honest with the world, if a bit silent at first.
But the Wuhan government lied it's butt off.
They all tried to hide it until they realized that it was impossible.....
Yes.
And the funny part is, every single President or Prime Minister on the planet, knew instantly China was lying.
I mean, besides Trump.
Other than him, the fact that China's lips were moving was evidence enough they were lying.
So they all buckled down, ramped up testing and production of PPE and ventilators, and stopped this virus before it snowballed out of control.
While the US kept right on trucking, oblivious to the BRIDGE OUT signs they were passing.