Does True Randomness Actually Exist? ( ^&*#^%$&#% )

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llama36

Well, he did try to be more explicit about it, but his language is maybe too technical.

Earlier, IIRC, he did some bijection of sets. One is the natural numbers (1, 2, 3, 4) and one is an infinite string of H and T. Bijection just means to, for example, put the lists side by side and link the first entry of both lists together, the second entry of both lists together, etc.

Elroch was answering your question "how do you know ALL of them are heads when there are infinite of them?" He was saying you can make a well defined list of all coin flips and it's no more mysterious than the fact that we accept there are an infinite number of positive integers.

(So 1 is heads, 2 is heads, 3 is heads, and so on, for all positive integers).

llama36
Optimissed wrote:

Also, he hasn't attempted to prove that the coin is a fair one. If it always lands tails, it certainly doesn't look like it. I think we should just assume that although everything is neatly laid out in Elroch's logical and mathematical mind, in reality, everything will refuse to comply with Elroch's well-laid plans for it.

You said it yourself, that infinity allows anything that can happen to actually happen.

So either you claim that at some point flipping heads is impossible, or you admit that flipping heads on flip number __  is a 50% chance no matter what number we use to fill in that blank.

And yes, a coin that always lands one way appears to not be fair, but that doesn't have much to do with anything. If you want an answer for how to prove it's a fair coin, you could repeat the experiment many times. The more times you repeat the experiment, the more sure you can be that it's fair. In any case, we can define the coin as fair from the beginning so while it might be a fun question to ask, it's not necessary.

llama36
Optimissed wrote:

Just as a general comment, how on Earth do you or does he think that writing down a list of coin tosses can prove his ideas to be right?

Your question was "how do you know ALL flips are tails if there are infinitely many of them?"

His answer is "pair the result of one flip to one number in an infinite list of numbers, and in this way we account for an infinite number of coin flips."

llama36

I know next to nothing about theoretical physics, and I tend to not care since it's impractical. If you can't measure it then it's fake science wink.png Yeah I'm kidding, but that's my bias. Big bang or not, I couldn't really care less about it.

Epistemology is something I've enjoyed thinking about on my own. It's fun when you independently discover some of the basics... of course if I actually read important books on the topic I'd get the whole 1000s of years of human discovery treatment, but I'm not interested enough for that.

llama36
Optimissed wrote:

If epistemology is fun then I'll give you the basics of my idea, later on today. I'll enjoy trying to put it in a nutshell but I need to get on with some work, unfortunately. And probably make another cup of coffee for wife and have some breakfast.

Sure, that stuff is fun to me.

Elroch

@Optimissed, state a scientific proposition that you believe is false that is part of the Big Bang Theory.  Saying you don't believe in the Big Bang Theory sounds a bit daft, like you believe none of the propositions that are part of the theory (such as that the general statements about graphs of mass density, temperature and so on, over the early history of the Universe).

The I Ching, or turning over Tarot cards are excellent sources of random data.

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
Elroch wrote:

@Optimissed, state a scientific proposition that you believe is false that is part of the Big Bang Theory.  Saying you don't believe in the Big Bang Theory sounds a bit daft, like you believe none of the propositions that are part of the theory (such as that the general statements about graphs of mass density, temperature and so on, over the early history of the Universe).

The I Ching, or turning over Tarot cards are excellent sources of random data.

I once had my Tarot read. I would say, around 1976 or 7. Apparently, I have quite an unusual conjunction of planets. The person concerned was fairly accurate about me but I'm not interested in it, unlike my late brother, who was actually a World authority on the Tarot. He wrote a book on it, but the publishers went bust before it was published. Perhaps he was just unlucky. He was offered a recording contract by the Beatles and turned it down. Oh well.

The I Ching is a very different matter, though. Not random at all. Very strange indeed. It's obviously a model of the human psyche. It was invented, as I recall, by King Wen. I'm not sure when. Maybe 800 BC but I'm guessing. The Duke of Chou improved it and Confucious he done a commentary on it.

The procedure for generating a reading is random much like with Tarot cards, but using triple coin flips! You can even do it online, based on random number generators, of course.

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
Elroch wrote:

@Optimissed, state a scientific proposition that you believe is false that is part of the Big Bang Theory.  Saying you don't believe in the Big Bang Theory sounds a bit daft

Fair enough. When talking to people who supported it, I used to ask them which model of the Big Bang they held to be accurate. Even scientists didn't know what I was talking about, so I knew they didn't know what they were talking about.

Unfortunately, I don't know of any scientific propositions that are part of it. Not one really, except that the universe is probably expanding and that expansion is accelerating. The Big Bang Theory (which one??) doesn't seem as if it's scientifically based.

They were surely puzzled why you thought there were different Big Bang Theories. Technically this is true, but it is fair to say there is a widely accepted standard model - the Lambda-CDM Big Bang cosmology. Alternatives like Modified Newtonian Dynamics and entropic gravity are treated seriously but do not have the same standing.

There is a lot of agreement on most of the timeline. There is a standard cosmology which leads back to a standard model of the Big Bang which is very widely accepted. It's actually rather well understood up to a temperature similar to that associated with the collisions in the Large Hadron Collider, which is where empirical knowledge of physics dries up.

As I understand it, the extrapolation very early on is simple because a highly uniform, dense expanding Universe at a given (very high) temperature can only feasibly arise from an even more highly uniform, higher temperature, denser universe.  This reasoning extends back to the strongly hypothesised inflationary epoch, which would be capable of providing extremely high uniformity required.

There is certainly work in progress on the evolution of the early Universe after the Big Bang, after the time of last scattering. But this falls outside of the Big Bang Theory and within cosmology.  I understand there is also a big mystery about the origin of matter-antimatter asymmetry: it may be explained by physics at higher energies than can be studied yet.

Let's put this another way: what do you disagree about in this chronology? Or Lambda-CDM?

Elroch

I accept that there are a range of alternative models that typically don't involve dark matter and replace relativity.  Some of these have terrible theoretical problems such as failing to satisfy conservation laws. Others have huge problems with some of the empirical data. But it is true that there is active, peer-reviewed work hypothesising that these models are true.

I have to say that any model that gives up the beautiful balance in the observed Universe, where the sum of the energy in mass, dark matter and dark energy is perfectly balanced by the gravitational energy seems implausible.

Please note that you have failed entirely to turn your expressed hatred for "the Big Bang theory" into anything approximating a scientific statement about a proposition that is not true.  You have however revealed imperfect understanding of the Big Bang Theory.

It certainly does NOT involve the Universe coming from a point.  It involves the observable universe coming from a very tiny region at the time after the Planck epoch. It does not assert the observable Universe came from a smaller region than this, because understanding of physics does not permit significant understanding of that time, when energies were enormously higher than any ever seen and quantum gravity replaces anything close to the physics that is understood (eg involving 4-D space-time).

Note also that the BBT does not have anything to say on how big the Universe as a whole was at this time. Even though the observable Universe came from a tiny region, the Universe as a whole could have been any larger size at this time.

It sounds like it has already been explained to you that this is what the BBT says, but you thought it was a new idea. It's not: that's the way it's been understood since the 1970s at least. Moreover, the term "the Big Bang Theory" refers to the Universe having once been very dense and hot and having expanded fairly uniformly before cooling and later forming stars and galaxies.  Only the most eccentric and rare cosmologists doubt this, as evidence has got better and better. See Big Bang cosmology from the 1990s.

Elroch

I am not familiar with what you are referring to, but I gather it is a 60-year-old book on cosmology. Suffice it to say understanding has advanced.

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:
Elroch wrote:

I accept that there are a range of alternative models
Sorry about this: logic in linquistics is hand in hand with general logic, so I'm being pedandic. There IS a range of alternative models. "A range" is singular.

Correct!

I wouldn't have mentioned it, had it not been for a misrepresentation you made, later on.

that typically don't involve dark matter and replace relativity.  Some of these have terrible theoretical problems such as failing to satisfy conservation laws. Others have huge problems with some of the empirical data. But it is true that there is active, peer-reviewed work hypothesising that these models are true.

I have to say that any model that gives up the beautiful balance in the observed Universe, where the sum of the energy in mass, dark matter and dark energy is perfectly balanced by the gravitational energy seems implausible.

Please note that you have failed entirely to turn your expressed hatred for "the Big Bang theory" into anything approximating a scientific statement about a proposition that is not true.

I have no intention of falling into that trap and I'm content with subjective expressions of hatred. It's my choice how I express myself.

The "trap" is to enter the world of science - propositions testable using the Scientific Method. I can see exactly why you want to avoid that "trap".

You have however revealed imperfect understanding of the Big Bang Theory.

No, I haven't. I thought it was obvious that I was giving the original conception of the idea, which was, of course, ludicrous.

It is ridiculous to argue against the version of scientific knowledge existing in the 1930s. The scientific world has already done that half a century earlier.

Don't misrepresent. However, I don't think there's too much difference between that and what was believed from the 1970s onwards.

There is some commonality. There are additions. Both are important.

It certainly does NOT involve the Universe coming from a point.  It involves the observable universe coming from a very tiny region at the time after the Planck epoch. It does not assert the observable Universe came from a smaller region than this, because understanding of physics does not permit significant understanding of that time, when energies were enormously higher than any ever seen and quantum gravity replaces anything close to the physics that is understood (eg involving 4-D space-time).

That's pretty obvious. I would like to repeat that my account was an accurate representation of the initial idea, which I thought should suffice and for practical purposes, there's no difference except that the maths, which didn't work at all in relation to an original point, does work better for a small volume. The Big Bang has always been subject to ad hoc improvements, when it doesn't work.

Not ad hoc.

Firstly, regarding your continued debate against Lemaitre or somone, no-one cares about any inadequacy of a model no-one living proposes. 

Science advances.  Eg Cosmology (and general relativity) were improved by incorporating a non-zero cosmological constant. The motivation for this improvement was empirical evidence against the simpler model with the constant being zero (which had previously sufficed).  That is how science works. It can be argued the replacement of Newtonian and Gallilean physics by relativity was of the same ilk: an improvement, approximating the previous theory except with more advanced data.

Note also that the BBT does not have anything to say on how big the Universe as a whole was at this time. Even though the observable Universe came from a tiny region, the Universe as a whole could have been any larger size at this time.

This is amusing. Originally, the whole idea was that the entire universe came from a point.

No, that is an idea you have got in your head. The whole idea was about the expansion. 

 

Now, the observable universe only comes from a small region of space. The conception is moving with very erring and very jerky strides towards acceptance of steady state, you know.

That is absolutely absurd. The density of the Universe at the earliest time in the Universe - the Planck density - is around 10^122 times higher than the current average density. The temperature was enormously higher than anything of which which have the slightest evidence (that ends with the highest energy cosmic rays, enormously energetic but enormously less so than the energies of particles in the early Big Bang.

If you call that "steady state", you probably use other words randomly as well.

Well, perhaps you can't see it. Most of the people I spoke to pretty much had given up on the "originated at a point" scenario.

No-one with expertise has believed precisely this in the last half century.

However, there were two or three who hadn't given up on the single point scenario, which is why I used to ask them which model they supported and which ofen produced ire!

Someone needs to tell them about modern physics, especially the Planck energy, the Planck temperature, the Planck density and the Planck length. Physics breaks down at that scale, so smaller spatial dimensions don't make sense.

It sounds like it has already been explained to you that this is what the BBT says, but you thought it was new idea. It's not: that's the way it's been understood since the 1970s.

No. I was aware of it in the 1970s. I was quite keen on the old cosmology back then, as Father Dougal might have mentioned to you.

Now in that model they're even pretending that the Big Bang accounts for acceleration of expansion. It does no such thing and ten to fifteen years ago, no-one was mentioning that. At least, I didn't notice it. Can you show that wasn't an ad hoc addition that came in 10 to 15 years ago?

Not "ad hoc". It is the response of the scientific method to new information.

It is interesting that the model of general relativity with a positive cosmological constant was the very earliest one. Einstein understood the naturality of the model, but there turned out to be no empirical justification of the additional term, so Occam's razor ruled until the 1990s (more like 25 years ago than 10-15). Then the data to justify the term was finally observed.

 

 

Elroch

No, "my idea" of science is Science. The application of the Scientific Method to the real world. Doesn't involves things like "I think that the Big Bang is stupider than people realise, but that it's a God-replacement theory".

The Scientific Method

llama36

Disliking BBT because it disagrees with a literal reading of the Christian Bible?

(Otherwise there's nothing "God-replacement" about it)

Elroch
Optimissed wrote:


"Scientific Method" = Agree with Elroch.

If yes = Pass
If no  = Back to the Beginning.

No.  The correct version is "Elroch agrees with the Scientific Method".

Here it is again. Have another look.

llama36
Optimissed wrote:
llama36 wrote:

Disliking BBT because it disagrees with a literal reading of the Christian Bible?

(Otherwise there's nothing "God-replacement" about it)

You shouldn't err so far towards ultra-simplicity. It's basically miraculous, whereas determinism is a replacement because it envisages a universe with a controlling hand. It's a psychological compulsion that some people have, to emulate a scenario that they may have rationally rejected but which binds them with a compulsion towards either a controlling force on the one hand or a miraculous conception on the other. Also Einstein's  belief that "God wouldn't play dice with the universe" has much to do with it too. He was a deist.

I don't even know where to begin. Determinism isn't part of any scientific theory and scientific theories don't seek to answer metaphysical questions... and deism is also a separate entity.

So, for example, you can have the BBT with or without determinism, you can have a creator-God with or without BBT, not to mention the entire ethos of science is removing "psychological compulsions" from the process.

"God does not play dice" was not a religious (or deistic) objection. Things like non-locality and superposition are bizarre to anyone, deist or not.

And also you say not to error on the side of ultra-simplicity, but "they're trying to replace God without knowing it" is exactly that. You simplify 3 things at once: religion, philosophy, and science.

Elroch

The Big Bang Theory is the very opposite of "miraculous". Rather it attempts to explain the entire history of the Universe since it was an astonishingly dense, hot, uniform, rapidly expanding maelstrom beyond our understanding of physics.  The key is that it attempts to explain this history using only a set of laws of physics and observations about the state of the Universe.

Some (almost always fundamentalist religious) people take the entirely false position that the Big Bang Theory is about how this initial state arose. That is literally the only thing it is not about!  It's much the same as fundamentalists who try to argue against evolution by going straight to the question of how the first cellular life arose - the very thing it does not address! (The theory of biological evolution is of course about how every organism on Earth has arisen since the common ancestor of all life existed).

It is true that the Big Bang Theory is not yet complete. And it is unlikely that it will be in our lifetimes. The reason for this is that there remains a need for new physics to explain certain aspects of our Universe, and there is no prospect of having experimental capabilities that could probe that new physics in the forseeable future (the energy involved is way too high).

llama36

Right, BBT doesn't deal with the universe before matter and energy existed, the same way evolution doesn't deal with biology before living organisms existed. There are plenty of religious people who accept modern science.

It's only the fundamentalists, who insist on a literal reading of their holy text, who take issue.

Uke8

No more comments and references to religion please.

Harmless as it is, I feel it's a slippery slope. Thank you.

shadowhb123
This was about randomness how the hell did y’all get to the creation of the universe.
Elroch
shadowhb123 wrote:
This was about randomness how the hell did y’all get to the creation of the universe.

@Optimissed compared the disagreement with him to disagreement with his disbelief in the Big Bang Theory.

Other than that, it has no substantial relationship.